Nor’easter: Latest Timing, Forecast
A nor’easter will finally move away from the East Coast Tuesday after bringing days of significant coastal flooding, heavy rain and strong winds from the Carolinas to the Northeast Seaboard.
What’s Happening Now And What Lies Ahead
Two areas of low pressure are swirling near the East Coast. The strongest of these is just off the coast of the Delmarva Peninsula and the Jersey Shore.
In combination with strong high pressure over New Brunswick and Quebec, that’s producing strong winds along the Northeast coast, particularly from southern New England to New Jersey.
This October nor’easter has already flooded areas from the Carolinas to New Jersey during high tide over the weekend.
In general, this storm system will slowly drift farther offshore on Tuesday.
(NEWS: Latest Storm Impacts)
Current Radar, Wind Gusts
Potential Impacts
Coastal Flooding
Coastal flood warnings will expire by Tuesday morning from the northern Outer Banks of North Carolina to Long Island.
Over a dozen locations in these areas are forecast to experience moderate flooding with the high tide around midday – early afternoon Tuesday in these areas.
Remnant tidal flooding could still reach moderate flood stages along the southern New Jersey shore, including Atlantic City and Ocean City Tuesday morning. While not expected to be as intense as Monday, water will be slow to recede.
Some minor coastal flooding could linger with early Tuesday afternoon’s high tide before water levels fall below flood stage.
Coastal Flood Watches And Warnings
This repeated coastal flooding over multiple days is likely to produce significant beach erosion and breaches in dunes in some areas, particularly in North Carolina’s Outer Banks, where nine homes have already collapsed into the ocean this year, to the Jersey Shore.
Apart from the coastal flood threat, pounding surf will linger up and down the Eastern Seaboard and will lead to a high threat of rip currents in several areas. Long story short, stay out of surf zone along the East Coast the next few days.
Wave Height, Wind Forecast Monday
Some wind gusts may linger Tuesday in a few areas along the immediate East Coast from Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard to the Atlantic beaches of Long Island and the Jersey shore.
These gusts could lead to a few additional power outages and damage to tree limbs.
Rain
A few parts of southeast New England, Long Island and the Jersey Shore may pick up another additional inch or more of rain through Tuesday.
That rainfall may aggravate coastal flooding and slow the retreat of flood water in those areas.
Additional Rain Forecast
(This should be interpreted as a broad outlook of where the heaviest rain may fall and is in addition to the rain that has already fallen.)
Storm Recap
Before the nor’easter, onshore winds produced high surf, rip currents and coastal flooding at high tide, particularly from the Carolinas to eastern Florida.
Charleston reached a recent crest of 8.46 feet on Friday, which was a top 20 highest crest for the river gauge. Water levels in Charleston again reached 8 feet Saturday, as they gained over an inch of rain. Over 20 road closures were reported across the city on Saturday, increasing to 30 on Sunday.
Heavy rain caused the Georgetown Marketplace in Georgetown, South Carolina, to flood early Sunday morning. Several motorists had to be rescued. Georgetown picked up nearly a foot of rainfall from this nor’easter. More widespread totals of 4-9 inches of rain have fallen along the South Carolina coastline. North. Myrtle Beach saw 3.29 inches of rainfall on Sunday, which was a daily record. This broke the previous record of 1.54 inches set in 1977.
In North Carolina, coastal flooding brought inundation and erosion to the Outer Banks, trapping vehicles and shutting down NC-12 between Rodanthe and the Marc Basnight Bridge. Two to three feet of inundation was reported in downtown New Bern, and water was reported up to or under several homes in Cedar Point. Lumberton, North Carolina, saw 1.73 inches of rainfall on Sunday, which was a daily record. The previous record was 1.07 inches set in 2011.
In Virginia, coastal flooding was reported in several neighborhoods along Little Creek in Norfolk, near Norfolk International Airport.
Two feet of water covered roads in North Wildwood, New Jersey, as waves broke over a seawall, there.
A powerful nor’easter brings coastal flooding to the Jersey Shore on Sunday afternoon, with high tide sending water over docks and into streets in Avalon, New Jersey, on Oct. 12, 2025.
(Photo by Lokman Vural Elibol/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Wind gusts over 50 mph have been reported across parts of Delaware, Maryland, Massachusetts, Virginia, New Jersey, and South Carolina, including a 62 mph gust at Island Beach State Park, New Jersey. Those gusts downed trees and limbs in a few areas and knocked out power to over 35,000 customers from North Carolina to New England.
Hayden Marshall is a meteorologist intern and First-Year Master’s Student at the Georgia Institute of Technology. He has been following weather content over the past three years as a storm spotter and weather enthusiast. He can be found on Instagram and Linkedin.
