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2025 college football conference championship scenarios

Nov 26, 2025, 11:23 PM ET

It’s almost time for the 2025 College Football Playoff. Schools are vying for a spot in their respective conference championship games. Heading into Week 14, title game berths are still up for grabs. In case of a tie after this week, each conference has its own set of tiebreakers.

Check out the scenarios for 2025 college football conference championship games below:

Editor’s Picks

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SEC

Alabama clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Texas A&M clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Georgia clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Ole Miss clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Big Ten

Indiana clinches a spot in the Big Ten championship game with:

Ohio State clinches a spot in the Big Ten championship game with:

Oregon clinches a spot in the Big Ten championship game with:

Michigan clinches a spot in the Big Ten championship game with:

​Big 12

Texas Tech clinches a spot in the championship game with:

BYU clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win or

  • ASU loss or

  • TTU loss and ASU win

Arizona State clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Utah clinches a spot in the championship game with:

ACC

Virginia clinches a spot in the championship game with:

SMU clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win or

  • Pitt loss, Duke loss, UVA win and UNC win or

  • Pitt loss, Duke loss, UVA win, NCSU win, BC win and finish higher than Georgia Tech and Miami in SportSource Analytics ranking or

  • Pitt loss, Duke loss, UVA loss, UNC win, BC win and finish higher than Georgia Tech and Miami in SportSource Analytics ranking

Pittsburgh clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win and UVA loss or

  • Win and SMU loss

Duke clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win, Pitt loss and SMU loss or

  • Win, Pitt loss, UVA loss and UNC win or

  • Win, Pitt loss, UVA loss, NCSU win and finish higher than Miami in SportSource Analytics ranking

Miami clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win and UVA loss and Duke loss and SMU win or

  • Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA loss and NCSU win or

  • Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA loss and UNC win and SYR win or

  • Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA loss and UNC win and BC win and finish higher than GT and SMU in SportSource Analytics ranking or

  • Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA win and NCSU win and SYR win or

  • Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA win and NCSU win and BC win and finish higher than GT and SMU in SportSource Analytics ranking or

  • Win and SMU loss and Duke win and UVA loss and NCSU win or

  • Win and SMU win and Duke win and UVA loss and NCSU win and finish higher than Duke in SportSource Analytics ranking

Georgia Tech clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Pitt win and UVA loss and SMU loss or

  • Miami win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA loss and NCSU win or

  • Miami Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA loss and UNC win and BC win and finish higher than Miami and SMU in SportSource Analytics ranking or

  • Miami Win and SMU loss and Duke loss and UVA win and NCSU win and BC win and finish higher than Miami and SMU in SportSource Analytics ranking

MAC

Toledo clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Miami (OH) clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Ohio clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Central Michigan clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win (Saturday) and Ohio loss (Friday) and Miami-OH loss (Saturday) or

  • Win (Saturday) and Kent State win (Friday) and Miami (OH) loss (Saturday) or

  • Win (Saturday) and Kent State loss (Friday) and Miami (OH) loss (Saturday) and Beat Ohio in Team Rating Score Metric

American

Tulane clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win

  • With a loss by either North Texas or Navy if it has the highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams or

  • Losses by both North Texas and Navy if it has the second-highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams

North Texas clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win

  • With a loss by either Tulane or Navy if it has the highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams or

  • Losses by both Tulane and Navy if it has the second-highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams

Navy clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win and loss by either Tulane or North Texas

  • With a loss by either Tulane or North Texas if it has the highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams or

  • Losses by both Tulane and North Texas if it has the second-highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams

South Florida clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win and loss by two of Tulane/North Texas/Navy if it has the highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams or

  • Win and losses by all of Tulane/North Texas/Navy if it has the second-highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams

East Carolina clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win and loss by two of Tulane/North Texas/Navy if it has the highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams or

  • Win and losses by all of Tulane/North Texas/Navy if it has the second-highest composite computer average of the 6-2 teams

Mountain West

San Diego State clinches a spot in the championship game:

Boise State clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win and San Diego State win or

  • Win and finish in top two in computer metrics among 6-2 teams or

  • UNLV loss and New Mexico loss and finish with the top computer metrics among 5-3 teams

UNLV clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win and Boise State loss and New Mexico loss or

  • Win and San Diego State loss and finish in top two in computer metrics among 6-2 teams or

  • Boise State loss and New Mexico loss and finish with the top computer metrics among 5-3 teams

New Mexico clinches a spot in the championship game:

  • Win and Boise State loss or

  • Win and finish in top two in computer metrics among 6-2 teams or

  • Boise State loss and UNLV loss and finish with the top computer metrics among 5-3 teams

Fresno State clinches a spot in the championship game:

Hawai’i clinches a spot in the championship game:

Utah State clinches a spot in the championship game:

Conference USA

Jacksonville State clinches a spot in the championship game with:

  • Win or

  • Kennesaw State loss

Western Kentucky clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Kennesaw State clinches a spot in the championship game with:

Check out the ESPN college football hub page for standings, scores, stats, schedules and more.

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