2026 Brisbane International Presented by Evie: Opelka [52nd] vs. Fonseca [24th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Sunday, Joao Fonseca (No. 24 in the world) meets Reilly Opelka (No. 52) in the Round of 32 at the Brisbane International Presented by Evie.

Fonseca has -200 odds to win this match versus Opelka (+155).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 2:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Reilly Opelka vs. Joao Fonseca matchup info

• Tournament: Brisbane International Presented by Evie
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Sunday, January 4
• Court Surface: Hard

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Opelka vs. Fonseca Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Opelka has a 66.7% to win.

Opelka vs. Fonseca Betting Odds

• Opelka’s odds to win match: +155
• Fonseca’s odds to win match: -200
• Opelka’s odds to win tournament: +3300
• Fonseca’s odds to win tournament: +700

Opelka vs. Fonseca matchup performance & stats

• In 15 tournaments on hard courts over the past year, Opelka has gone 17-16.
• Opelka has won 16.4% of his return games on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 84.8% of his service games.
• Opelka is 117th in break points won on hard courts over the past 12 months, converting 34 of 114 (29.8%).
• Opelka was eliminated in the Round of 32 of his previous tournament (the Belgrade Open) 4-6, 3-6 by No. 92-ranked Vit Kopriva on November 3.
• Fonseca has gone 16-8 in nine tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months, and he has won one tournament title.
• Fonseca has 230 wins in 288 service games while playing on hard courts (79.9%), and 74 wins in 295 return games (25.1%).
• On hard courts Fonseca is 63rd in break point winning percentage (40.0%) after going 62-for-155.
• In the Rolex Paris Masters, Fonseca’s most recent tournament, he went head to head with No. 14-ranked Karen Khachanov in the Round of 32 on October 29 and lost 1-6, 6-3, 3-6.