In a 3-round women’s flyweight bout on the main card, Alexa Grasso and Maycee Barber meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 271 at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington. The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET and the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET, all on Paramount+. Let’s analyze UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 271: Grasso vs. Barber odds, and make our expert UFC picks and predictions.
Records: Grasso (16-5-1) | Barber (15-2-0)
Grasso takes the walk looking to pull out of a 2-bout losing skid. She lost the flyweight belt to Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 306 – Riyadh Season Noche UFC on Sept. 14, 2024. She suffered a unanimous-decision loss at UFC 315 to Natalia Silva in her most recent fight.
Barber picked up a unanimous-decision win over Karine Silva at UFC 323 in December her last time out. She has gone the distance in 8 of her past 9 fights, with a Round 2 KO/TKO over Amanda Ribas in June 2023 as the lone exception.
Grasso has a 1-inch reach advantage while Barber has a 4.61-to-4.11 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Barber lands those strikes at a 57.87% clip, with Grasso checking in at 55.30%. Barber also has a 1.58-to-0.41 takedown average advantage, with Barber posting a 45.95% takedown accuracy percentage.
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UFC Fight Night 271: Grasso vs. Barber odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Grasso +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Barber -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -400 | No +275)
UFC Fight Night 271: Grasso vs. Barber picks and predictions
BARBER (-190) is slightly over my personal limit for a straight up bet, but if you were to use a boost or promo, or you fold Barber into a multi-leg parlay, and it’s perfectly fine to play this.
Get specific for a much better value. BARBER BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (-115) is a cheaper play. But know that if she is victorious via KO/TKO or submission, you do not get the win.
YES (-400): Fight to go the distance is just way too expensive, costing you 4 times your potential return. Even if you were to include it in a multi-leg parlay, it sucks all of the value out of your ticket.
AVOID, and just play the 2-way moneyline and/or method of victory.
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