- The Panthers shock the Rams: The Panthers delivered the upset win of Week 13, defeating the Rams 31-28.
- Joe Burrow returns with a win: Burrow came back in Week 13 and helped lift the Bengals over the Ravens on Thanksgiving.
- Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.
Estimated Reading Time: 24 minutes
The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team’s market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.
Click here to jump to a team:
ARZ | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN | CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WAS
1. Los Angeles Rams (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 95%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 13%
The Rams have been nearly impervious in 2025, but their loss to the Panthers in Week 13 has significant implications. The 9-3 Rams are no longer the top seed in the NFC after the 31-28 upset defeat on the road, but their status as Super Bowl contenders shouldn’t be debated. Matthew Stafford (92.4 grade; 1st) had three turnovers in the loss, including two interceptions — his first interceptions since Week 3—while the Los Angeles defense couldn’t slow down a potent Panthers rushing attack.
2. Green Bay Packers (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 89%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 10%
The Packers put on their hard hats and went to work against the Detroit Lions in Week 13, winning 31-24 in the Thanksgiving opener and sweeping their NFC North rivals while improving to 8-3-1 on the year. This might have been the best the Packers have looked since that Week 1 win, too.
Jordan Love (87.3 grade; 3rd) was aggressive and confident, and the Green Bay defense shut down the Lions’ running game. We saw special performances from Dontayvion Wicks (72.7 grade; 31st) — who caught six passes for 94 yards and two touchdowns — and edge rusher Micah Parsons (91.9 grade; 3rd), who totaled 2.5 sacks.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 40%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
After their 31-18 loss to the Cowboys in Week 13 — their sixth one-score defeat of the season, plus the third in four games — the Chiefs have a 40% chance of making the playoffs, and are currently two games back of the last wild-card spot.
However, it remains hard not to give them the benefit of the doubt. They’re the Chiefs after all. But the excuses are mounting up. The offense can go full quarters without scoring, despite being second in EPA per play, and the defense just allowed seven yards per play to the Cowboys.
The Chiefs were down to three backup offensive linemen against the Cowboys, but Patrick Mahomes (76.4 grade; 11th) went nuclear — completing 23-of-34 pass attempts for 261 yards and four touchdowns, earning a 71.3 overall PFF grade. Still, it wasn’t enough. The Chiefs are 6-6 and are looking as desperate as we’ve ever seen them.
4. Buffalo Bills (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 94%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
It took a while for the Bills to get going — they only scored three points in the first half — but once they got there, they didn’t let up in a 26-7 Week 13 win against the Steelers. The offense leaned on a huge performance from James Cook (80.3 grade; 10th) — who ran the ball 32 times for 144 yards — to carry the offense while the passing game felt stuck in the mud.
And the defense, which has been oft-maligned in recent weeks, shut down the Steelers’ offense and came up with a defensive touchdown on an Joey Bosa (79.2 grade; 21st) strip-sack. Better for the Bills.
5. Seattle Seahawks (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 91%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
The Seahawks’ defense had a field day against the Vikings in Week 13, posting a 26-0 shutout while picking rookie Max Brosmer off four times — including a pick six — forcing a fumble and recovery and sacking the quarterback four times. Though the victory never felt in doubt, that performance from the defense was needed. The offense had its own issues against the Vikings’ defense with a 38.8% success rate in the game, averaging 3.5 yards per play. A timely reminder that Mike Macdonald’s defense is one of the best in the NFL.
6. Detroit Lions (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 44%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
A lack of week-to-week consistency has plagued the Lions all season. After the 31-24 loss to the Packers in Week 13, the Lions have now failed to win back-to-back games since Week 4 and 5. That’s not great. This Lions team is too talented on both sides of the ball for that to happen, but this is the hand they’ve been dealt.
The injury to receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (90.0 grade; 4th) in the loss to the Packers will sting, as will the news that former center Frank Ragnow will not be coming out of retirement to join the team after failing a physical. The Lions needed his presence on the offensive line. Their playoff odds now sit at 44%.
7. Houston Texans (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 68%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
The Texans have caused a stir in the AFC South after toppling the Colts 20-16 in Week 13. C.J. Stroud (68.8 grade; 25th) returned to the lineup and helped lift the offense, while the defense — which ranks first in EPA per play — flatlined one of the best offenses in the NFL.
Not only does the win hand a blow to the Colts, but it throws the Texans — who have now won four straight games — deeper into the playoff mix. They’re a game back of the Jaguars and Colts and have a 68% chance of making the postseason.
8. Denver Broncos (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 98%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 12%
The Broncos continue to stack up wins after the 27-26 overtime victory against the Commanders in Week 13, moving their record to 10-2 and lifting themselves closer to their first division title in over 10 years. Bo Nix (73.3 grade; 16th) and the passing game picked apart the Commanders’ defense, but the defense came up with the game-winning stop on a two-point attempt deep into overtime. The offense has looked better in recent weeks, but the ace in the deck remains Denver’s elite defense.
9. Baltimore Ravens (Down 5)
Chance of making playoffs: 60%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
The Ravens lost their first game since Lamar Jackson (62.6 grade; 32nd) returned to the lineup in Week 13, falling to the Joe Burrow-led Bengals 32-14. Let’s be clear, the Ravens’ ceiling is still high: They still have a 60% chance of reaching the playoffs. But, the offense hasn’t played well since Jackson’s return.
Whether it’s a case of Jackson not being healthy or things just not clicking, the passing offense is 26th in EPA per pass play since Week 9. Like the Chiefs, the Ravens deserve the benefit of the doubt for who they’ve been in recent seasons, but any concern is justified. The Ravens don’t look like the Ravens yet.
10. San Francisco 49ers (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 93%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
The 49ers’ offense still isn’t perfect with Brock Purdy (68.7 grade; 26th) under center, but San Francisco is slowly building a case to be an under-the-radar playoff team. The Browns’ defense isn’t a unit to be taken lightly, but the 49ers made the plays that mattered while handily shutting down the Browns’ offense.
San Francisco’s 42.2% offensive success rate since Purdy returned is 20th in the NFL, but a 9-4 record does all of the talking for the 49ers. Head coach Kyle Shanahan has done another incredible job with this team considering the number of injuries suffered. He has to be in the Coach of the Year conversation.
11. Philadelphia Eagles (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 89%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
The boo birds were out in force in Week 13 as the Eagles fell to the Bears 24-15 on Black Friday. As it has often been for the Eagles in 2025, the lack of cohesion on offense felt costly.
Jalen Hurts’ 58.3 overall PFF grade was his second-lowest of the season. The defense gave up 281 rushing yards on the ground, and though the Eagles are still 8-4 with a comfortable lead in the NFC East, they’ve lost two straight games. The inability to sew all of the pieces together could bite the Eagles come January.
12. Los Angeles Chargers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 59%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
A second-half surge from the offense, as well as an all-around strong performance from the defense — which ranks ninth in EPA per play — was enough to lift the Chargers over the Raiders in a Week 13 win and one step closer to the playoffs. There’ll be concerns as to the extent of the injury to Justin Herbert’s (84.6 grade; 5th) non-throwing hand when he suffered a break on a contact hit, but the Chargers quarterback is expected to be ready to go for Week 14. Still, that’s one to keep an eye on as the Chargers make their final push.
13. New England Patriots (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: >99.9%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
Another strong showing from the Patriots in Week 13, albeit against a struggling Giants team. The Patriots ran out to a 30-7 lead at halftime, suffocating the Giants on defense while Drake Maye (87.1 grade; 4th) and the offense moved the ball freely throughout the game, with Maye completing 24-of-31 pass attempts for 282 yards and two touchdowns on an 85.3 overall PFF grade. That’s 10 wins in a row for the Patriots, and an NFL-best 11-2 record.
14. Chicago Bears (Up 3)
Chance of making playoffs: 76%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
It’s no longer time to pump the brakes on the Bears. After the emphatic Week 13 win against the Eagles — where the offense rushed for 281 yards — combined with the Rams’ loss to the Panthers, the Bears are now the clubhouse leaders in the NFC with a 9-3 record.
That’s now five straight wins for the Bears, and just as importantly, a strong showing from the defense. Chicago has now forced turnovers in five straight contests, and has more takeaways than any other unit in the NFL.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 85%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
The Jaguars’ third straight win, a comfortable 25-3 effort against the Titans in Week 13, was enough to catapult them to the top of the AFC South. The victory shook the foundation of the division’s playoff race, which seemed so safely in the Colts’ grasp a few weeks ago.
Turnovers have been an issue in recent weeks for Trevor Lawrence (71.5 grade; 21st), but this was a clean game with a couple of big-time throws, and the offense is now 19th in EPA per play on the season. It won’t always be this easy for the Jaguars.
16. Indianapolis Colts (Down 3)
Chance of making playoffs: 54%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Colts’ early-season dominance has faded. Sure, this is still a well-put-together unit and one of the best offenses in the NFL — they’re first in EPA per play, a fair sign of their success. But the Colts have now lost three of their last four games after the 20-16 Week 13 defeat to the Texans and are 15th in EPA per play since Week 9.
Just to pour more salt into the wound, the Colts have been leapfrogged in the top spot in the AFC South by the Jaguars. Daniel Jones’ (73.4 grade; 15th) fibula injury is a looming cause for concern, too. The rest of the season will be a slog for the Colts — they have the third-toughest remaining schedule.
17. Dallas Cowboys (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 21%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The Cowboys are 3-0 since their Week 10 bye week, and in the last two games, they’ve rattled off back-to-back wins against last year’s Super Bowl teams. The offense has continued to play like one of the best in the league, but in those three matchups, the defense has stepped up.
The worry for the Cowboys, who are 6-5-1 with a 21% chance of making the playoffs, is that this potential run has come too late. The defense is 18th in success rate over the last three weeks, while Quinnen Williams has posted an 84.4 overall PFF grade. All hope is not lost in Dallas, but the Cowboys can’t afford any more slip-ups.
18. Cincinnati Bengals (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 8%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Welcome back, Joe Burrow. The Bengals quarterback stepped back onto the field in Week 13 for the first time since Week 2, and completed 52.2% of his passes for 261 yards and two touchdowns while compiling a 79.6 overall PFF grade in a 32-14 win against the Ravens.
Burrow’s presence is a welcome sight, and the offense will undoubtedly receive a boost over the next month, though Cincinnati’s chances of making the playoffs are near-impossible at 8%. Running the table might be the Bengals’ last hope.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 81%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Buccaneers managed to quell a late comeback attempt from the Cardinals to snatch their first win since Week 8 and end a three-game losing streak. The sight of Bucky Irving (63.5 grade; 48th) in the backfield was a big boost for the Buccaneers’ offense: Though the second-year running back only averaged 3.7 yards per attempt, he forced seven missed tackles and scored a touchdown in his return. The Buccaneers remain in control of the NFC South and have an 81% chance of winning the division.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers (Down 5)
Chance of making playoffs: 33%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The Steelers have now lost five of their last seven games after the Week 13 defeat to the Bills and now have a 33% chance of making the playoffs, even though they sit with an identical record to the Ravens in the top spot. It was an ugly showing from the offense, with Aaron Rodgers (59.4 grade; 36th) briefly leaving the game after a heavy hit from Bosa.
The Steelers have lost all momentum, and a Week 14 showdown against the Ravens — their first in the next five weeks — could go a long way to determining how the rest of the season plays out.
21. Washington Commanders (Up 4)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
A spirited performance from the Commanders meant we got a fun Sunday night matchup in Week 13, but the 27-26 overtime loss means that Washington is now 3-9 and on the brink of playoff elimination. With Jayden Daniels (76.7 grade; 10th) still sidelined, backup Marcus Mariota (75.7 grade; 12th) delivered another gutsy performance, notching a 62.7 overall PFF grade while completing 28-of-50 passes for 294 yards, two touchdowns and an interception.
Regardless of the small bright spots, it’s a lost season for the Commanders after such promise just a year ago.
22. Minnesota Vikings (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Vikings figured out one of the hardest lessons in life in their 26-0 loss to the Seahawks in Week 13: it can always get worse. With J.J. McCarthy (52.6 grade; 39th) in concussion protocol and out of the lineup, the Vikings turned to 2025 undrafted free agent Max Brosmer— against one of the best defenses in the NFL — and felt the full brunt of it. Brosmer compiled a 22.0 overall PFF grade in the 26-0 loss, and the Vikings’ season — which started with so much promise — has gone from bad to worse.
Minnesota has lost six of its last seven showdowns and is all but resigned to failure and deep questions in the offseason.
23. Miami Dolphins (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Dolphins squeaked past the Saints 21-17 in Week 13 and have now won three straight games. Those with their eye on the long-term picture will be concerned that the Dolphins are playing themselves out of a top-10 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, but winning games and putting together some consistency can’t be ignored — especially for a roster with some big questions looming.
The Dolphins could still win out and sniff the playoffs, but their current odds are below 1% — even with the sixth-easiest remaining schedule.
24. Atlanta Falcons (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
When the Falcons defeated the Bills in Week 6 to move to 3-2 on the season, it felt like a team that had perennially disappointed over the years had finally turned a corner. However, since then, the Falcons have lost six of their last seven games, including a 27-24 loss to the New York Jets in Week 13. That’s as bad as it’s been for the Falcons since their shutout fall to the Panthers earlier in the season.
There are bright spots, though. Bijan Robinson (83.7 grade; 4th) continues to look like one of the best running backs in the NFL, registering a 70.0 overall PFF grade against the Jets while rushing for 142 yards and a touchdown. However, the franchise’s direction seems uncertain.
25. Arizona Cardinals (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The Cardinals are officially eliminated from the postseason after their 20-17 loss to the Buccaneers in Week 13. They sparked a comeback in the second half, buoyed by a strong performance from receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. (69.5 grade; 46th) — who caught six passes for 69 yards in his return to the lineup on a 75.3 overall PFF grade — but couldn’t finish the job. The Cardinals are just playing for pride now.
26. Carolina Panthers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 22%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Wow. What a performance from the Panthers, who won their seventh game of the season in a 31-28 win over the Rams — arguably the best team in the NFL — to move to 7-6 and keep the heat on the Buccaneers atop the NFC South. Bryce Young (64.7 grade; 29th) was excellent against the Rams, completing 15-of-20 of his passes for 206 yards and three touchdowns, adding two big-time throws while securing an 83.3 overall PFF grade.
Young has played excellent ball in two of the last three weeks, and the Panthers’ ability to grind out results is to be marveled. Young now has seven fourth-quarter comebacks in his career. Say what you want, but he and this Panthers team don’t quit.
27. New York Giants (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The Giants welcomed Jaxson Dart (70.9; 22nd) back into the lineup in Week 13 after the rookie first-round pick missed the last two games with a concussion. Dart showed some real playmaking moments in the 33-15 loss to the Patriots, but any concerns over his often reckless style of play — which has led to him taking some big hits — are justified. On top of that, edge rusher Abdul Carter (66.8 grade; 54th) was benched for the first quarter for disciplinary reasons. The Giants’ two very talented first-round picks are on bumpy roads right now.
28. Cleveland Browns (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Browns fell 24-8 in Shedeur Sanders’ (38.9 grade) second start for the team. Though there have been fleeting moments of potential, the overarching feeling is that Sanders is a fifth-round quarterback for a reason.
As a whole, the Browns are lopsided. The defense is still one of the best in the NFL, led by Myles Garrett (93.1 grade; 1st), who might be on the road to his second Defensive Player of the Year award as he approaches the NFL sack record.
But, the offense has its clear deficiencies. The Browns will trot Sanders out until the season’s end, but the long-term goal should be to find a quarterback capable of building around.
29. Las Vegas Raiders (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
Another tough outing for the Raiders, who were swept aside 31-14 by the Chargers in Week 13. All of the same issues continue to plague the Raiders. The offensive line struggled, Geno Smith (61.7 grade; 35th) was pressured on nearly 40% of his dropbacks and the defense was gashed on the ground.
The Raiders are 2-10 and firmly in the picture for the top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, but what happens in the long term? Is Pete Carroll the right man for the job?
30. New York Jets (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
In the race for the top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, every win or loss counts, and the Jets’ 27-24 triumph against the Falcons could well have cost them the chance at that selection. However, there’s a lot to like about the win.
Receiver Adonai Mitchell (62.8 grade; 76th) had arguably the best game of his career, catching eight passes for 102 yards and a touchdown on a 76.0 overall PFF grade. Running back Breece Hall (77.8 grade; 13th) also proved that he’s still one of the most talented backs in the NFL, totalling 76 scrimmage yards and a touchdown with a 75.7 overall grade.
31. New Orleans Saints (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The Saints ran the Dolphins close in Week 13, but fell 21-17 after a late two-point conversion attempt was picked off. The offense has its moments with Tyler Shough (69.4 grade; 24th) under center, but whether he can be the team’s future franchise quarterback is still up for debate. That was the case against the Dolphins, too. Shough made some nice throws, particularly to receivers Chris Olave (72.2 grade; 33rd) and Devaughn Vele (67.2 grade; 57th).
There’s plenty of time to have that conversation, though. There’s still a lot of football left to play, and enough time for Shough to make a compelling case. Though so far, the Saints might be inclined to scour the gunslinger market in the offseason.
32. Tennessee Titans (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
Another game, another tough beat for the Titans, who lost 25-3 to the Jaguars in Week 13 to fall to 1-11 on the season. Things haven’t gotten any easier for Cam Ward (56.7 grade; 38th), who was sacked three times while compiling a 44.7 overall PFF grade in the loss. However, the silver lining is there’s absolutely an excellent quarterback in there — one who is already playing well in his rookie season despite his surroundings.
The goal for the Titans this offseason is simple: Bring in a coach who can accentuate Ward and build the correct ecosystem around their No. 1 pick.
