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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Dec. 19

Data Skrive

The Boston Celtics (15-11) face the Miami Heat (15-12) on December 19, 2025 on FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS. Friday’s matchup between the Celtics and the Heat features the Celtics as solid 7-point favorites. A 231.5-point total is set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, December 19, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Celtics vs Heat Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Celtics -7 -110 -110 231.5 -110 -110 -295 +240

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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 7)
O/U Pick: Over (231.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 118 – Heat 114

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

  • The Celtics have played 11 games with more than 231.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, this year.
  • The Heat have played in 16 games this season (59.3% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 231.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 4.9 more points per game (236.4) than this game’s over/under of 231.5 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.8 fewer points per game (227.7) than this matchup’s total of 231.5 points.
  • Boston has come away with 10 wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • Miami has been victorious in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • Boston has come out on top in three of its last four head-to-head matchups against Miami.
  • The Celtics also have a 3-1 record against the spread when playing the Heat.

Celtics Recent Trends

  • The Celtics have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span.
  • Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229 points over its last 10 games, 2.5 less than the 231.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Celtics are 14-11-1 against the spread this season.
  • This season, Boston has an against the spread record of 5-3 in its eight games as a favorite of 7 points or more.
  • The Celtics have gone over the point total in 44.4% of their opportunities this year (12 times over 27 games with a set point total).
  • The Celtics record just 0.7 fewer points per game (116.2) than the Heat give up (116.9).
  • Boston is 11-1 against the spread and 12-0 overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
  • The Celtics make 47% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (44.5%).
  • In home games, the Celtics have an identical winning percentage against the spread as they do in away games (.538).
  • In terms of point totals, Boston hits the over more often in home games, as it has eclipsed the total seven times in 13 opportunities this season (53.8%). In road games, it has hit the over five times in 13 opportunities (38.5%).
  • The Celtics have performed worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 5-4, compared to going 5-2 on the road.

Celtics Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank Points Scored 116.2 17 Points Allowed 110.8 2 Rebounds 43.4 20 Assists 24.1 28 Steals 8.3 17 Blocks 5.3 7

Celtics Leaders

  • Jaylen Brown posts 29.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • Derrick White posts 17.8 points, 4.1 boards and 5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks.
  • Payton Pritchard averages 16.7 points, 5 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.
  • Neemias Queta posts 9.9 points, 8.2 boards and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.3 blocks.
  • Anfernee Simons averages 13 points, 2.5 assists and 2.1 boards.

Celtics Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Jaylen Brown 29.5 -102 29.3 Derrick White 19.5 -118 17.8 Payton Pritchard 17.5 -125 16.7 Anfernee Simons 11.5 +100 13.0 Neemias Queta 10.5 -106 9.9

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Miami has averaged a total of 237.5 combined points over its last 10 games, six greater than this game’s over/under of 231.5.
  • In the Heat’s 27 games this year, they have 15 wins against the spread.
  • So far this year, Miami has been installed as underdogs by a 7-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those contests.
  • Heat games this season have hit the over on 13 of 27 set point totals (48.1%).
  • The Heat’s 120.2 points per game are 9.4 more points than the 110.8 the Celtics give up.
  • Miami is 12-6 against the spread and 11-7 overall when it scores more than 110.8 points.
  • The Heat’s 47.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.5 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (45.1%).
  • The Heat have performed better against the spread at home (8-6-0) than on the road (7-5-1) this season.
  • Miami’s games have finished above the over/under 42.9% of the time at home (six of 14), and 53.8% of the time away (seven of 13).
  • The Heat’s winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .636 (7-4), and away it is .500 (1-1).

Heat Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.2 5 Points Allowed 116.9 18 Rebounds 45.6 5 Assists 28.9 5 Steals 8.9 8 Blocks 5 13

Heat Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Jaime Jaquez Jr. gets the Heat 15.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
  • Kel’el Ware is averaging 11.5 points, 10.3 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. He’s draining 54.3% of his shots from the floor.
  • The Heat are getting 18.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Bam Adebayo this season.
  • Norman Powell is putting up 24.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 49.6% of his shots from the floor and 43.4% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per game.
  • Andrew Wiggins gets the Heat 16.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest while putting up 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

Heat Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 22.5 -112 24.4 Tyler Herro 20.5 -118 23.2 Bam Adebayo 18.5 -114 18.7 Andrew Wiggins 13.5 -130 16.3 Davion Mitchell 8.5 -130 9.9

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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