Data Skrive
The Indiana Pacers (6-25) will hope to end a three-game road skid when squaring off against the Miami Heat (16-15) on December 27, 2025 at Kaseya Center. Miami is a solid 7-point favorite against Indiana when the Heat hit the court against the Pacers on Saturday. The matchup’s over/under is 230.5.
Here’s everything you need to know about the Heat-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- TV: FDSSUN, FDSIN, and WPLG
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Pacers Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -7 -108 -112 230.5 -106 -114 -270 +220
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Heat vs. Pacers Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (- 7)
O/U Pick: Over (230.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 123 – Pacers 109
Heat vs. Pacers Betting Insights
- The Heat and their opponent have combined to score over 230.5 points, the current matchup’s point total, in 19 of 31 games this year.
- A total of 14 Pacers games this season (out of 31) have gone over 230.5 total points scored.
- The two teams average a combined 1.4 fewer points per game, 229.1, than this matchup’s over/under of 230.5 points.
- The Heat and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 5.3 more points per game than the point total of 230.5 set for this game.
- Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (57.1%) in those games.
- Indiana has won in four, or 15.4%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
- Miami and Indiana have each won two of their last four head-to-head matchups.
- Both the Heat and the Pacers have 2-2 records against the spread in those contests.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall over their last 10 contests.
- Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.6 points over its last 10 games, 6.1 more than the 230.5 over/under in this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Heat are 17-13-1 this year.
- Miami has an against the spread record of 3-3 in its six games when favored by 7 points or more so far this season.
- Heat games this year have gone over the total in 15 out of 31 opportunities (48.4%).
- The 119.5 points per game the Heat record are only 1.1 more points than the Pacers allow (118.4).
- Miami is 12-3 against the spread and 10-5 overall when scoring more than 118.4 points.
- This season, the Heat have a 47.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.8% lower than the 47.9% of shots the Pacers’ opponents have hit.
- In home games, the Heat have a worse record against the spread (8-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (9-6-1).
- Miami has hit the over on the over/under in six of 15 home games (40%). It has done better in road games, eclipsing the total in nine of 16 matchups (56.2%).
- The Heat have played better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 7-5, compared to going 1-1 in road games.
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 119.5 8 Points Allowed 117.4 18 Rebounds 45.6 6 Assists 28.4 7 Steals 8.9 8 Blocks 4.5 18
Heat Leaders
- Kel’el Ware posts 12.4 points, 10.7 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocks.
- Norman Powell puts up 23.8 points, 4.0 boards and 2.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game, shooting 51.2% from the floor.
- Bam Adebayo posts 18.0 points, 9.5 boards and 2.4 assists per contest, shooting 46.6% from the field and 31.4% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made treys per game.
- Andrew Wiggins averages 15.9 points, 4.8 boards and 2.9 assists per game. At the other end he averages 1.0 steal and 1.1 blocks.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 23.5 -118 23.8 Tyler Herro 20.5 -114 23.2 Bam Adebayo 16.5 -118 18.0 Andrew Wiggins 13.5 -130 15.9 Kel’el Ware 10.5 -132 12.4
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers are 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall in their past 10 games.
- Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.2 less than the 230.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Pacers have 15 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
- Indiana has been underdogs by 7 points or more 13 times this season and are 7-6 ATS in those games.
- Pacers games this year have hit the over on 12 of 31 set point totals (38.7%).
- The Pacers score an average of 109.6 points per game, 7.8 fewer points than the 117.4 the Heat allow to opponents.
- Indiana is 4-4 against the spread and 3-5 overall when it scores more than 117.4 points.
- The Pacers have shot at a 43.1% rate from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points fewer than the 45.2% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
- Against the spread, the Pacers have been better at home (9-8-0) than on the road (6-8-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Indiana’s games have finished over more frequently at home (nine of 17, 52.9%) than on the road (three of 14, 21.4%).
- This year the Pacers are 2-2 at home when moneyline favorites (.500 winning percentage). Away they are 0-1 (.000).
Pacers Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 109.6 29 Points Allowed 118.4 22 Rebounds 43.5 21 Assists 23.5 30 Steals 7.0 28 Blocks 5.3 8
Pacers Leaders
- Pascal Siakam generates 23.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game for the Pacers.
- Andrew Nembhard is putting up 17.4 points, 2.3 rebounds and 6.5 assists per contest. He’s sinking 42.6% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per game.
- Jay Huff gets the Pacers 8.0 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game while averaging 0.3 steals and 2.4 blocked shots (first in league).
- Bennedict Mathurin gets the Pacers 18.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- The Pacers are receiving 9.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jarace Walker this year.
Pacers Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Pascal Siakam 22.5 -102 23.1 Andrew Nembhard 17.5 -104 17.4 Bennedict Mathurin 17.5 -108 18.2 T.J. McConnell 8.5 -118 10.0 Jay Huff 8.5 -110 8.0
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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