Jessica Pegula will face Anastasia Zakharova in the first round of the Australian Open Women’s Singles 2026 on Sunday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers’ advanced tennis model predicts Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Pegula vs. Zakharova match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday’s match, including best bets and picks.
Pegula vs. Zakharova prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday’s Pegula-Zakharova women’s singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Pegula an 89% chance of beating Zakharova in the Australian Open 2026.
Additionally, Pegula has an 84% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zakharova (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 17.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Jessica Pegula vs. Anastasia Zakharova odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Pegula
Zakharova
Moneyline
-1235
+980
First Set
-714
+450
Game Spread
+6.5 (-118)
-6.5 (-112)
Total Games
o17.5 (-132)
u17.5 (-102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pegula vs. Zakharova picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
