2026 Australian Open: Musetti [5th] vs. Machac [24th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Friday, Tomas Machac (No. 24 in the world) faces Lorenzo Musetti (No. 5) in the Round of 32 at the Australian Open.

Musetti is the favorite (-185) in this match against the underdog Machac (+140).

ESPN+88 will broadcast this match and have coverage throughout the Australian Open, you can see it there from January 12 – February 1.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 2:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Tomas Machac matchup info

• Tournament: Australian Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Friday, January 23
• TV Channel: ESPN+88
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Court Surface: Hard

Watch Australian Open and more tennis on Fubo!

Musetti vs. Machac Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Musetti has a 64.9% to win.

Musetti vs. Machac Betting Odds

• Musetti’s odds to win match: -185
• Machac’s odds to win match: +140

Musetti vs. Machac matchup performance & stats

• Musetti is 28-16 on hard courts over the past year.
• On hard courts over the past year, Musetti has won 26.3% of his return games and 80.5% of his service games.
• Including hard courts only, Musetti has converted 38.7% of his break-point opportunities (128 of 331) over the past year.
• In his most recent tournament, the BANK OF CHINA HONG KONG TENNIS OPEN, Musetti went down in the final to No. 11-ranked Alexander Bublik, 6-7, 3-6 on January 11.
• Machac has come out on top in two tournaments on hard courts over the past year, registering an 18-11 record on that surface.
• Machac has finished 234-for-296 in service games when playing on hard courts (79.1% winning percentage), and 88-for-304 in return games (28.9%).
• On hard courts Machac is 69-for-150 on break points, 46.0%, which ranks 46th.
• Machac was the last one standing in his last tournament, the Great Ocean Road Open, as he made it to the title match and took down No. 36-ranked Ugo Humbert 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 on January 16.