Odds favor Bad Bunny, Lady Gaga, and ‘KPop’

Bad Bunny is set to kick off his already-big 2026 with a major win at the Grammy Awards, according to Gold Derby’s official predictions. The Puerto Rican rapper, already set for the Super Bowl halftime show in a few weeks, is favored to take home Album of the Year for DTMF, over tough competitors like Lady Gaga and last year’s big winner, Kendrick Lamar.
But don’t sweep for Mother Monster just yet. Gaga is predicted to take home Record of the Year for her song “Abracadabra.” It would be the 14-time winner’s first time taking home the award — or any of the top three categories.
Rounding out that trio of award is potentially a major hit from the world of film. KPop Demon Hunters, which became Netflix’s most-watched film of all time on its way to two potential Oscar wins, is predicted to take Song of the Year at the Grammys.
Keep reading for a full rundown of Gold Derby’s final Grammy predictions and check back on Sunday, Feb. 1 for complete coverage of the ceremony.
ALBUM OF THE YEAR
DTMF — Bad Bunny — 44%
Swag — Justin Bieber
Man’s Best Friend — Sabrina Carpenter
Let God Sort Em Out — Clipse, Pusha T, and Malice
Mayhem — Lady Gaga
GNX — Kendrick Lamar
Mutt — Leon Thomas
Chromakopia — Tyler, the Creator
RECORD OF THE YEAR
“DTMF” — Bad Bunny
“Manchild” — Sabrina Carpenter
“Anxiety” — Doechii
“Wildflower” — Billie Eilish
“Abracadabra” — Lady Gaga — 44%
“Luther” — Kendrick Lamar with SZA
“The Subway” — Chappell Roan
“Apt.” — Rosé and Bruno Mars
SONG OF THE YEAR
“Abracadabra” — Henry Walter, Lady Gaga & Andrew Watt, songwriters (Lady Gaga)
“Anxiety” — Jaylah Hickmon, songwriter (Doechii)
“Apt.” — Amy Allen, Christopher Brody Brown, Rogét Chahayed, Henry Walter, Omer Fedi, Philip Lawrence, Bruno Mars, Chae Young Park & Theron Thomas, songwriters (Rosé, Bruno Mars)
“DTMF” —Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio, Scott Dittrich, Benjamin Falik, Roberto José Rosado Torres, Marco Daniel Borrero, Hugo René Sención Sanabria & Tyler Thomas Spry, songwriters (Bad Bunny)
“Golden” — Golden [from KPop Demon Hunters]
Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick, songwriters (Hunt/x: Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami) — 50%
“Luther” — Jack Antonoff, Roshwita Larisha Bacha, Matthew Bernard, Ink, Scott Bridgeway, Sam Dew, Kendrick Lamar, Mark Anthony Spears, Solána Rowe & Kamasi Washington, songwriters (Kendrick Lamar With SZA)
“Manchild” — Amy Allen, Jack Antonoff & Sabrina Carpenter, songwriters (Sabrina Carpenter)
“Wildflower” — Billie Eilish O’Connell & Finneas O’Connell, songwriters (Billie Eilish)
BEST NEW ARTIST
Olivia Dean — 74%
Katseye
The Marías
Addison Rae
Sombr
Leon Thomas
Alex Warren
Lola Young
BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM
Swag — Justin Bieber
Man’s Best Friend — Sabrina Carpenter
Something Beautiful — Miley Cyrus
Mayhem — Lady Gaga — 66%
I’ve Tried Everything But Therapy (Part 2) — Teddy Swims
BEST TRADITIONAL POP VOCAL ALBUM
Wintersongs — Laila Biali
The Gift of Love — Jennifer Hudson
Who Believes in Angels? — Elton John & Brandi Carlile — 47%
Harlequin — Lady Gaga
A Matter of Time — Laufey
The Secret of Life: Partners, Volume 2 — Barbra Streisand
BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE
“Daisies” — Justin Bieber
“Manchild” — Sabrina Carpenter — 70%
“Disease” — Lady Gaga
“The Subway” — Chappell Roan
“Messy” — Lola Young
BEST POP DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE
“Defying Gravity” — Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande
“Golden” — Huntr/x: Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami
“Gabriela” — Katseye
“Apt.” — Rosé and Bruno Mars — 60%
“30 for 30” — SZA with Kendrick Lamar
BEST ROCK ALBUM
Private Music — Deftones — 71%
I Quit — Haim
From Zero — Linkin Park
Never Enough — Turnstile
Idols — Yungblud
BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM
Sable, Fable — Bon Iver
Songs of a Lost World — The Cure
Don’t Tap the Glass — Tyler, The Creator
Moisturizer — Wet Leg
Ego Death at a Bachelorette Party — Hayley Williams — 83%
BEST R&B ALBUM
Beloved — Giveon
Why Not More? — Coco Jones
The Crown — Ledisi
Escape Room — Teyana Taylor
Mutt — Leon Thomas — 91%
BEST PROGRESSIVE R&B ALBUM
Bloom — Durand Bernarr
Adjust Brightness — Bilal
Love on Digital — Destin Conrad
Access All Areas — Flo — 80%
Come As You Are — Terrace Martin & Kenyon Dixon
BEST RAP ALBUM
Let God Sort Em Out — Clipse, Pusha T & Malice
Glorious — GloRilla
God Does Like Ugly — JID
GNX — Kendrick Lamar — 88%
Chromakopia — Tyler, The Creator
BEST CONTEMPORARY COUNTRY ALBUM
Patterns — Kelsea Ballerini — 74%
Snipe Hunter — Tyler Childers
Evangeline vs. The Machine — Eric Church
Beautifully Broken — Jelly Roll
Postcards From Texas — Miranda Lambert
BEST LATIN POP ALBUM
Cosa Nuestra — Rauw Alejandro
Bogota (Deluxe) — Andrés Cepeda
Tropicoqueta — Karol G — 89%
Cancionera — Natalia Lafourcade
¿Y ahora qué? — Alejandro Sanz
BEST COMEDY ALBUM
Drop Dead Years — Bill Burr
PostMortem — Sarah Silverman
Single Lady — Ali Wong — 89%
What Happened Was… — Jamie Foxx
Your Friend, Nate Bargatze — Nate Bargatze
BEST MUSIC VIDEOS
“Young Lion” — Sade (Sophie Muller, video director; Sade & Aaron Taylor Dean, video producers)
“Manchild” — Sabrina Carpenter (Vania Heymann & Gal Muggia, video directors; Aiden Magarian, Nathan Scherrer & Natan Schottenfels, video producers) — 69%
“So Be It” — Clipse (Hannan Hussain, video director; Daniel Order, video producer)
“Anxiety” — Doechii (James Mackel, video director; Pablo Feldman, Jolene Mendes & Sophia Sabella, video producers)
“Love” — OK Go (Aaron Duffy, Miguel Espada & Damian Kulash Jr., video directors; Petra Ahmann, video producer)
BEST MUSIC FILM
Devo — Devo (Chris Smith, video director; Danny Gabai, Anita Greenspan, Chris Holmes & Chris Smith, video producers)
Live at the Royal Albert Hall — Raye (Paul Dugdale, video director; Stefan Demetriou & Amy James, video producers)
Relentless — Diane Warren (Bess Kargman, video director; Peggy Drexler, Michele Farinola & Kat Nguyen, video producers)
Music by John Williams — John Williams (Laurent Bouzereau, video director; Sara Bernstein, Laurent Bouzereau, Justin Falvey, Darryl Frank, Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Meredith Kaulfers, Kathleen Kennedy, Frank Marshall, Steven Spielberg & Justin Wilkes, video producers) — 69%
Piece By Piece — Pharrell Williams (Morgan Neville, video director; Morgan Neville, Caitrin Rogers, Mimi Valdes & Pharrell Williams, video producers)
BEST MUSICAL THEATER ALBUM
Buena Vista Social Club
Death Becomes Her
Gypsy
Justin In Time
Maybe Happy Ending — 81%
BEST COMPILATION SOUNDTRACK FOR VISUAL MEDIA
A Complete Unknown — Timothée Chalamet
F1 The Album — Various Artists
KPop Demon Hunters — Various Artists
Sinners — Various Artists
Wicked — Various Artists — 54%
BEST SCORE SOUNDTRACK ALBUM FOR VISUAL MEDIA
How to Train Your Dragon — John Powell, composer
Severance: Season 2 — Theodore Shapiro, composer
Sinners — Ludwig Göransson, composer — 88%
Wicked — John Powell & Stephen Schwartz, composers
The Wild Robot — Kris Bowers, composer
BEST SONG WRITTEN FOR VISUAL MEDIA
“As Alive as You Need Me to Be” (from Tron: Ares) — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, songwriters (Nine Inch Nails)
“Golden” (from KPop Demon Hunters) — Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick, songwriters (Huntr/x: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami) — 92%
“I Lied To You” (from Sinners) — Ludwig Göransson & Raphael Saadiq, songwriters (Miles Caton)
“Never Too Late” (from Elton John: Never Too Late) — Brandi Carlile, Elton John, Bernie Taupin & Andrew Watt, songwriters (Elton John, Brandi Carlile)
“Pale, Pale Moon” (from Sinners) — Ludwig Göransson & Brittany Howard, songwriters (Jayme Lawson)
“Sinners” (from Sinners) — Leonard Denisenko, Rodarius Green, Travis Harrington, Tarkan Kozluklu, Kyris Mingo & Darius Povilinus, songwriters (Rod Wave)




