Data Skrive
The Miami Heat (27-25) travel to face the Boston Celtics (33-18) after winning three road games in a row. Friday’s game between the Celtics and the Heat sees the Celtics as a strong, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is 226.5 points for the matchup.
Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Friday, February 6, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
- TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Celtics vs Heat Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Celtics -6.5 -108 -112 226.5 -110 -110 -245 +200
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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
ATS Pick: Celtics (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 119 – Heat 112
Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights
- Out of 51 games thus far this year, the Celtics have had 23 with over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
- A total of 37 Heat games this season (out of 52) have gone over 226.5 total points scored.
- These teams average 235.8 points per game combined, 9.3 more than the total of 226.5.
- The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 0.1 more points per game than the point total of 226.5 set in this matchup.
- Boston has been victorious in 25, or 69.4%, of the 36 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
- Miami has been an underdog in 27 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (44.4%) in those contests.
- After the last two head-to-head meetings, Boston has a 2-0 record against Miami.
- The Celtics have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when squaring off against the Heat.
- The Celtics covered the point spread in their past four games, and were the favorites in three of those games.
Celtics Recent Trends
- The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
- Boston’s average total over the last 10 games is 4.4 points fewer than the 226.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Celtics are 29-21-1 this year.
- This season, Boston has an ATS record of 14-9 in its 23 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
- Celtics games this year have gone over the point total 19 times in 52 opportunities (36.5%).
- The Celtics put up 115.9 points per game, just 2.1 fewer points than the 118 the Heat give up.
- When Boston totals more than 118 points, it is 17-3 against the spread and 20-0 overall.
- This season, the Celtics have a 46.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.9% higher than the 46% of shots the Heat’s opponents have made.
- The Celtics have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (17-9-1) than they have in home games (12-12-0).
- When playing at home, Boston goes over the total 37.5% of the time (nine of 24 games). It has hit the over in 37% of games on the road (10 of 27 contests).
- The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 13-6 (.684). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 12-5 (.706).
Celtics Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 115.9 14 Points Allowed 108.6 2 Rebounds 45.3 9 Assists 24 29 Steals 7.7 21 Blocks 5.2 8
Celtics Leaders
- Jaylen Brown puts up 29.5 points, 7 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocks.
- Derrick White averages 17.3 points, 4.5 boards and 5.6 assists per contest, shooting 39% from the field and 32.3% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per contest.
- Nikola Vucevic averages 16.9 points, 9 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 50.5% from the field and 37.6% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Payton Pritchard puts up 17.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocks.
- Neemias Queta averages 10.1 points, 8.3 boards and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocks.
Celtics Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Jaylen Brown 29.5 -118 29.5 Payton Pritchard 16.5 -132 17.1 Derrick White 16.5 -118 17.3 Nikola Vucevic 11.5 -112 16.9 Sam Hauser 10.5 -114 9.2
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests.
- Miami has averaged a total of 235.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.4 greater than this matchup’s over/under of 226.5.
- In the Heat’s 52 games this year, they have 29 wins against the spread.
- Miami has an against the spread record of 6-3 in its nine games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more this season.
- The Heat have gone over the point total 53.8% of the time this year (28 of 52 games with a set point total).
- The Heat’s 119.9 points per game are 11.3 more points than the 108.6 the Celtics allow to opponents.
- Miami is 28-15 against the spread and 24-17 overall when it scores more than 108.6 points.
- The Heat are shooting 46.4% from the field, 2.1% higher than the 44.3% the Celtics’ opponents have shot this season.
- In 2025-26 against the spread, the Heat have a lower winning percentage at home (.538, 14-12-0 record) than on the road (.577, 15-10-1).
- Looking at the over/under, Miami’s games have finished over 53.8% of the time this season, both at home (14 of 26) and on the road (14 of 26).
- The Heat, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (11-8) than on the road (4-2) this season.
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 119.9 3 Points Allowed 118 22 Rebounds 46.6 2 Assists 28.7 7 Steals 9.1 6 Blocks 4.2 23
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo is putting up 18.1 points, 9.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He’s also draining 44.4% of his shots from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per game.
- The Heat are getting 23 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Norman Powell this year.
- The Heat are getting 15.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr. this year.
- Andrew Wiggins gives the Heat 15.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest while averaging 1.2 steals and 1 block.
- The Heat are getting 11.3 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Kel’el Ware this season.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 21.5 -114 23 Bam Adebayo 18.5 -128 18.1 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 13.5 -114 15.5 Andrew Wiggins 13.5 -125 15.6 Pelle Larsson 10.5 -112 10.5
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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