Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 9

Data Skrive
The Miami Heat (28-26) take the court against the Utah Jazz (16-37) on February 9, 2026 on FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+. Monday’s matchup between the Heat and the Jazz sees the Heat as a solid, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is 239.5 points for the game.
Here is everything you need to know about the Heat-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Monday, February 9, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- TV: FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Jazz Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -6.5 -112 -108 239.5 -115 -105 -270 +220
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Heat vs. Jazz Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (239.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 127 – Jazz 114
Heat vs. Jazz Betting Insights
- This year, the Heat games have finished over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 25 (out of 54) times.
- This year, 31 of the Jazz’s 53 games have had a combined total higher than 239.5 points scored.
- The two teams average a combined 1.5 fewer points per game, 238, than this game’s over/under of 239.5 points.
- Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 more points per game, 244, than this matchup’s over/under of 239.5 points.
- Miami has been victorious in 16, or 61.5%, of the 26 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
- Utah has won in 12, or 25.5%, of the 47 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
- After the last one head-to-head matchups, Miami has a 1-0 record against Utah.
- The Heat also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when playing the Jazz.
- Against the point spread, the Jazz have covered in four consecutive games, and were the favorite in one of those contests.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
- Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.5 points in its last 10 games, 5.0 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Heat have played 54 games, with 31 wins against the spread.
- Miami has been favored by 6.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 7-4 ATS in those matchups.
- Heat games this year have gone over the total in 28 out of 53 opportunities (52.8%).
- The Heat put up 119.7 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than the 126.7 the Jazz give up.
- Miami has a 15-2 record against the spread and a 14-2 record overall when putting up more than 126.7 points.
- The Heat are shooting 46.3% from the field this season, 2.8 percentage points lower than the 49.1% the Jazz allow to opponents.
- When playing at home, the Heat own a worse record against the spread (14-12-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (17-10-1).
- When playing at home, Miami goes over the over/under 53.8% of the time (14 of 26 games). It has hit the over in 50% of road games (14 of 28 contests).
- The Heat have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 11-8 (.579). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 5-2 (.714).
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 119.7 3 Points Allowed 117.3 21 Rebounds 46.8 2 Assists 28.7 5 Steals 9.2 6 Blocks 4.2 24
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo puts up 18.2 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks.
- Norman Powell posts 23.0 points, 3.6 boards and 2.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Andrew Wiggins averages 15.7 points, 2.8 assists and 5.0 boards per game.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.2 points, 5.4 boards and 4.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Kel’el Ware averages 11.3 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 53.4% from the field and 40.1% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 23.5 -108 23.0 Bam Adebayo 20.5 -120 18.2 Andrew Wiggins 16.5 -125 15.7 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15.5 -114 15.2 Davion Mitchell 9.5 -102 9.0
Jazz Recent Trends
- The Jazz have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 2-8 overall in their past 10 contests.
- Utah and its opponents have combined to score an average of 237.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.4 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
- In the Jazz’s 53 games this year, they have 29 wins against the spread.
- Utah is 18-15 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
- Jazz games this season have eclipsed the over/under 32 times in 53 opportunities (60.4%).
- The Jazz average only 1.0 more point per game (118.3) than the Heat allow (117.3).
- Utah is 20-7 against the spread and 14-13 overall when it scores more than 117.3 points.
- The Jazz are shooting 46.8% from the field, 0.9% higher than the 45.9% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
- In 2025-26 against the spread, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (.556, 15-12-0 record) than away (.538, 14-12-0).
- Utah’s games have finished above the over/under 70.4% of the time at home (19 of 27), and 50% of the time on the road (13 of 26).
- The Jazz, as moneyline favorites, have won the same percentage of games at home (2-1) and on the road (2-1) this season.
Jazz Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 118.3 6 Points Allowed 126.7 30 Rebounds 44.0 14 Assists 30.1 2 Steals 8.0 18 Blocks 3.5 30
Jazz Leaders
- Lauri Markkanen delivers 27.1 points, 6.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game for the Jazz.
- On a per-game basis, Jaren Jackson Jr. gets the Jazz 19.3 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (10th in NBA).
- Jusuf Nurkic is averaging 11.0 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 50.1% of his shots from the floor.
- The Jazz are receiving 9.6 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Kyle Filipowski this year.
- The Jazz are getting 10.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 7.2 assists per game from Isaiah Collier this year.
Jazz Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Lauri Markkanen 21.5 -108 27.1 Jaren Jackson Jr. 16.5 -130 19.3 Isaiah Collier 14.5 -114 10.2 Brice Sensabaugh 13.5 -130 12.1 Ace Bailey 13.5 -110 11.5
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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