Cordell’s prediction: Expect Frederik Andersen and Denmark to slide past Latvia.
Feb 14, 2026 • 11:54 ET
• 4 min read
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Denmark goaltender Frederik Andersen.
Latvia pulled off an upset against Germany, grinding out a 4-3 win for their first Olympic victory since 2014.
My Denmark vs. Latvia predictions see them coming back down to earth against a hungry Danish squad.
Let’s break down my free betting picks for Sunday, February 15.
Denmark vs Latvia prediction
Denmark vs Latvia Best bet: Denmark moneyline (-130 at BET99)
Don’t let the scorelines fool you. Denmark is a more dangerous offensive team than Latvia. The Danes generated 17 slot shots and 34 slot attempts against Germany. Latvia had 12 slot shots and 14 attempts.
Denmark is better at controlling the run of play. They also possess highly skilled, productive wingers like Nik Ehlers and Oliver Bjorkstrand, who can convert opportunities into results — something Latvia lacks.
Since Latvia started Arturs Silovs on Saturday, they will likely turn to Elvis Merzlikins, who has not performed as well as Silovs in Goals Saved Above Expected this season. That’s a bonus for Denmark.
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Denmark vs Latvia same-game parlay
Denmark moneyline
Under 5.5
Latvia has generated 16 inner-slot shot attempts across two games, creating a low volume of high-quality chances. A rested Frederik Andersen should be able to handle the few that come his way.
Expect Latvia to bunker down in front of Merzlikins and keep this game as low-event as possible, creating a good environment for an Under.
Denmark vs Latvia SGP
- Denmark moneyline
- Under 5.5
Denmark vs Latvia odds
- Moneyline: Denmark -120 | Latvia +100
- Puck Line: Denmark -1.5 (+240) | Latvia +1.5 (-300)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (+120) | Under 5.5 (-145)
How to watch Denmark vs Latvia
Location
Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena, Milan, Italy
Date
Sunday, February 15, 2026
Puck drop
1:10 p.m. ET
TV
TSN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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