2026 Qatar ExxonMobil Open: Tsitsipas [33rd] vs. Rublev [14th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the quarterfinals at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on Thursday, Stefanos Tsitsipas (ranked No. 33) meets Andrey Rublev (No. 14).

Rublev is the favorite (-150) in this match against Tsitsipas (+115).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info

• Tournament: Qatar ExxonMobil Open
• Round: Quarterfinal
• Date: Thursday, February 19
• Court Surface: Hard

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Tsitsipas vs. Rublev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Tsitsipas has a 60.0% to win.

Tsitsipas vs. Rublev Betting Odds

• Tsitsipas’ odds to win match: +115
• Rublev’s odds to win match: -150
• Tsitsipas’ odds to win tournament: +2500
• Rublev’s odds to win tournament: +2200

Tsitsipas vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats

• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Tsitsipas has won one tournament, and his record is 12-9.
• Tsitsipas has won 82.8% of his service games on hard courts and 21.4% of his return games over the past 12 months.
• Tsitsipas has converted 50 of 155 break points on hard courts (32.3%) over the past year and is 86th in break points won.
• Tsitsipas was defeated in the Round of 16 of his last tournament (the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament) 4-6, 6-7 by No. 65-ranked Botic Van de Zandschulp on February 12.
• Rublev has gone 21-15 in 16 tournaments on hard courts over the past year, and he has won one title.
• Rublev has an 81.4% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 22.8% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Rublev ranks 17th in break point winning percentage (36.6%) after going 96-for-262.
• In the Australian Open, Rublev’s last tournament, he clashed with No. 21-ranked Francisco Cerundolo in the Round of 32 on January 23 and lost 3-6, 6-7, 3-6.