2026 BNP Paribas Open: Fonseca [35th] vs. Collignon [77th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

Joao Fonseca (No. 35 ranking) will take on Raphael Collignon (No. 77) in the Round of 128 of the BNP Paribas Open on Wednesday, March 4.

Fonseca is the favorite (-135) to get to the Round of 64 compared to the underdog Collignon (+105).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 2:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Joao Fonseca vs. Raphael Collignon matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 128
• Date: Wednesday, March 4
• Court Surface: Hard

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Fonseca vs. Collignon Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Fonseca has a 57.4% to win.

Fonseca vs. Collignon Betting Odds

• Fonseca’s odds to win match: -135
• Collignon’s odds to win match: +105
• Fonseca’s odds to win tournament: +2800
• Collignon’s odds to win tournament: +10000

Fonseca vs. Collignon matchup performance & stats

• Fonseca is 12-8 on hard courts over the past 12 months, with one tournament victory.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Fonseca has won 76.7% of his service games and 23.2% of his return games.
• Fonseca is 84th in break points won on hard courts over the past 12 months, converting 48 of 117 (41.0%).
• In the the Rio Open presented by Claro, Fonseca’s most recent tournament, he was defeated 7-5, 3-6, 4-6 by No. 91-ranked Ignacio Buse on February 19 in the Round of 16.
• Collignon has put up a 9-7 record in seven tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• Collignon has finished 173-for-212 in service games on hard courts (81.6% winning percentage), and 38-for-205 in return games (18.5%).
• On hard courts Collignon has won 30.1% of break points (34 out of 113) to rank 117th.
• On January 19, Collignon was defeated by No. 5-ranked Lorenzo Musetti, 6-4, 6-7, 5-7, 2-3, in the Round of 128 of his most recent tournament, the Australian Open.