ATP Indian Wells Best Bets Including Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelka – LWOS Tennis – News, Predictions, Analysis, Betting

The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-finals continue with several exciting clashes. Brooksby faces Tiafoe with a strong head-to-head edge, Shelton meets big-serving Opelka, and Khachanov takes on rising talent Fonseca. With form, serving power, and past matchups all playing a role, there are some solid value opportunities on the board.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Brooksby – Tiafoe: 06.03.2026 23:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Jenson Brooksby has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Brooksby defeated Popyrin in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Frances Tiafoe has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Tiafoe lost to Cobolli in the final in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, Tiafoe lost to Watanuki in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Brooksby dominated in the opening round against Popyrin. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Tiafoe and has never lost a set. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Brooksby winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds. Jenson Brooksby winning @2.00 @bet365
Shelton – Opelka: 06.03.2026 21:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Ben Shelton has won five straight matches. The last match he played was in Dallas, where he won the title, defeating Fritz in the final. Last season in Indian Wells, Shelton lost to Draper in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Opelka defeated Quinn in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the second set, but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shelton is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing at home and is in great form. We expect him to dominate on his serve and get a comfortable straight-sets win.
That being said, Shelton winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton winning 2-0 @1.91 @bet365
Khachanov – Fonseca: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, Khachanov lost to Brooksby in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, the Russian lost to Shelton in the third round in straight sets.
Joao Fonseca has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Fonseca defeated Collignon in the opening round in straight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, Fonseca lost to Draper in the second round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Khachanov is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He enjoys playing at the Masters 1000 level and has more experience than Fonseca. Last season in Paris, Khachanov defeated Fonseca in three tight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Khachanov winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov winning @2.20 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images




