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Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson prediction, pick for UFC 326

Drew Dober and Michael Johnson meet on the UFC 326 main card Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom.

  • Last event’s results: 4-2

  • UFC main cards, 2026: 17-11

Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson UFC 326 preview

UFC lightweight knockout leader (10) Dober (28-15 MMA, 14-11 UFC) enters his first fight of the year on the heels of a third-round TKO win in a Fight of the Night vs. Kyle Prepolec. That victory snapped a three-fight skid stretching back to 2023.

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Johnson (24-19 MMA, 16-15 UFC), co-leader for knockdowns in the lightweight division (13), comes into this matchup riding a three-fight winning streak. His run includes wins over Darrius Flowers, Ottman Azaitar, and Daniel Zellhuber – Johnson’s best stretch since a four-fight streak from 2013 to 2015.

Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson UFC 326 expert pick, prediction

In a fight that should be the main-card opener, Michael Johnson meets fellow action-fighting veteran, Drew Dober.

Considering the history of these two fighters in and out of the UFC, it’s honestly surprising that we never saw this matchup booked before, and I’m glad we’re getting it now.

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Age aside, this fight should be plenty volatile given the nature of the southpaw vs. southpaw dynamics between two dangerous strikers.

Dober has a slightly better record against other UFC-level lefties, standing officially at 5-4 in comparison to Johnson’s 3-4 (though Johnson’s loss to Beniel Dariush is a highly controversial one).

However, with numbers never fully telling the story in this kind of combat sport, I tend to lean on other stylistic factors – such as who has the better lead hand. In this case, I believe that Johnson has the better lead hand and boxing technique, in general.

Johnson is not beyond having the rug pulled out from underneath him, so no one should be shocked if he succumbs to Dober’s power. That said, I’ll go ahead and side with Johnson to be the one who finds a knockout, likely by the end of Round 2.

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Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson UFC 326 odds

Despite the oddsmakers opening “The Menace” as the favorite, public money came in on the underdog to push this fight to pick’em odds, making Johnson -115 and Dober -105 via FanDuel.

Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson UFC 326 start time, how to watch

Dober and Johnson are expected to walk to the cage at approximately 9:40 p.m. ET. The fight streams live on Paramount+ and CBS.

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC 326: Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson prediction, time

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