Ryan Wohl breaks down his best bet for Luke Fernandez vs. Rodolfo Bellato at UFC 326.
Luke Fernandez makes his official UFC debut in the first fight on the UFC 326 card against Rodolfo Bellato. Fernandez earned a UFC contract after scoring a first-round knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series in October 2025. Bellato’s run in the UFC hasn’t gone as planned so far, as he is 1-1-1 with a no-contest since 2023.
Check out my best bet for Luke Fernandez vs. Rodolfo Bellato on the UFC 326 Prelims.
Even though both fighters are 30 years old, they are at different points in their careers. Fernandez is making his first appearance for the UFC, while Bellator’s time in the promotion could be coming to an end soon if he can’t get back in the win column. Fernandez is 6-0 with five knockouts since beginning his MMA career in March 2023. He has appeared to be a future contender at 205 pounds and has even trained with former Light Heavyweight Champion Alex Pereira.
Bellato does have more experience than Fernandez, as he has nine more fights on his resume. But he hasn’t won a fight since December 2023, as his last three fights ended in a decision loss, a no-contest, and a draw. Although Bellato is taller (6’3″ vs. 6’1″), Fernandez has a one-inch reach advantage (76″ vs. 75″).
In this contest, Fernandez is a -218 favorite while Bellato is a +180 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. This fight is -340 to not the distance while being +240 to go to the judges’ scorecards. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds with the over being -125. Since Fernandez has the power advantage and five of his six victories have been by knockout, it is best to back him at -105 to win by KO/TKO/DQ.
