2026 BNP Paribas Open: Bublik [10th] vs. Hijikata [117th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the BNP Paribas Open Round of 32 on Monday, we have a matchup of No. 117-ranked Rinky Hijikata against No. 10 Alexander Bublik.

Bublik is favored (-450) against Hijikata (+310) in this Round of 32 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 2:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Alexander Bublik vs. Rinky Hijikata matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Monday, March 9
• Court Surface: Hard

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Bublik vs. Hijikata Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Bublik has an 81.8% to win.

Bublik vs. Hijikata Betting Odds

• Bublik’s odds to win match: -450
• Hijikata’s odds to win match: +310

Bublik vs. Hijikata matchup performance & stats

• Bublik is 25-10 on hard courts over the past 12 months, with two tournament titles.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Bublik has won 86.2% of his service games and 20.6% of his return games.
• Bublik is 37th in break points won on hard courts over the past year, converting 72 of 181 (39.8%).
• In the the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Bublik’s previous tournament, he was defeated 3-6, 6-7 by No. 25-ranked Tallon Griekspoor on February 25 in the Round of 16.
• Hijikata has failed to win a title on hard courts over the past 12 months, posting a 16-13 match record on that surface.
• Hijikata has a 71.2% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 26.7% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Hijikata has won 43.0% of break points (68 out of 158) to rank 47th.
• On February 24, Hijikata was defeated by No. 110-ranked Mattia Bellucci, 6-7, 3-6, in the Round of 32 of his most recent tournament, the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC.