2026 Miami Open presented by Itau: Cilic [49th] vs. Popyrin [47th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Thursday, Alexei Popyrin (No. 47 in the world) meets Marin Cilic (No. 49) in the Round of 128 at the Miami Open presented by Itau.

Cilic is favored to win (-165) in this match against Popyrin (+130).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 2:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Marin Cilic vs. Alexei Popyrin matchup info

• Tournament: Miami Open presented by Itau
• Round: Round of 128
• Date: Thursday, March 19
• Court Surface: Hard

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Cilic vs. Popyrin Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Cilic has a 62.3% to win.

Cilic vs. Popyrin Betting Odds

• Cilic’s odds to win match: -165
• Popyrin’s odds to win match: +130

Cilic vs. Popyrin matchup performance & stats

• Cilic is 11-11 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• On hard courts over the past year, Cilic has won 18.9% of his return games and 84.2% of his service games.
• Cilic has converted 34.7% of his break-point opportunities on hard courts (34 of 98) over the past 12 months.
• In his most recent tournament (the BNP Paribas Open), Cilic lost to Zachary Svajda 6-7, 4-6 on March 4, in the Round of 128.
• The 26-year-old Popyrin, who is seeking his first tournament title on a hard court in 2026, is 7-16 over the past 12 months on that surface.
• Popyrin has a 78.3% winning percentage in service games while playing on hard courts, and a 17.4% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Popyrin has won 29.2% of break points (33 out of 113) to rank 120th.
• On March 4, Popyrin lost to No. 41-ranked Jenson Brooksby, 3-6, 4-6, in the Round of 128 of his last tournament, the BNP Paribas Open.