The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-finals keep delivering solid spots. Halys and Majchrzak both look sharp on serve, so a long, tight match with at least one tiebreak feels very likely. Sinner is in dominant form right now and should stay in control if he keeps that level. Given the gap in consistency and confidence, it’s hard to see Moutet causing serious problems over the full match.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-Finals
Halys – Majchrzak: 23.03.2026 23:05 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Quentin Halys has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Frenchman defeated Draxl in three sets after losing the opening set. Halys lost only two games in the second and third sets. In the second round, Halys upset Davidovich Fokina in straight sets. He served great, hitting 15 aces and saving both breakpoints.
Kamil Majchrzak has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Majchrzak defeated Kecmanovic in the opening round in three sets, after losing the opening set 4-6. In the second round, Majchrzak upset Tien in three sets. He dominated in the opening and deciding set. Last season in Miami, Majchrzak failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, and we agree. Both Halys and Majchrzak are in great form here in Miami. They served well, and we expect them to hold their service games comfortably. We expect a possible three-set thriller with at least one tiebreak.
That being said, over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 24.5 games @1.83 @bet365
Moutet – Sinner: 24.03.2026 00:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Moutet lost to Giron in the semifinals in three tight sets. This week in Miami, Moutet defeated Machac in the opening match in three sets. After losing the second set, Moutet stepped up his level and was a better player under pressure in the deciding set. Last season in Miami, the Frenchman lost to Tabilo in the second round.
Jannik Sinner has won seven straight matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Sinner won the title without dropping a single set. This week in Miami, Sinner defeated Dzumhur in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, offering and saving only one breakpoint. The Italian won the title here in 2024, defeating Dimitrov in the final in straight sets. He is the second seed this week in Miami.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is on a seven-match winning streak without dropping a set. He enjoys playing in the States and has defeated Moutet in their only head-to-head meeting comfortably. We expect him to dominate and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -6.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
