Prediction markets tracking the likelihood that President Donald Trump could be removed from office under the 25th Amendment saw a steady climb this weekend.
On Kalshi, one of the largest regulated prediction platforms, trading volume rose as users bet on whether Cabinet‑level action to declare the president unfit might occur.
Kalshi hosted a contract titled, “Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump’s presidency?” allowing traders to buy “Yes” or “No” shares.
Prices on the “Yes” side rose in recent days, from 28.6 percent to 35.1 percent within the last month. It is the second highest the number has been since the start of the second term. The poll started at 15 percent yes in January 2025, Kalshi shows.
