Keagan Smith gives you a preview, prediction and pick for today’s game between the Houston Astros and Colorado Rockies on Monday’s MLB slate.
We’re officially entering the third week of the MLB season, meaning we’re beginning to see statistical blips turn into trends as the sport’s pecking order comes into full focus. Fans of higher-scoring games will certainly want to tune in tonight when the Houston Astros (6-4) and their scorching-hot bats head to Coors Field for a date against the Colorado Rockies (3-6).
Here’s a betting prediction and pick for tonight’s Astros vs. Rockies matchup courtesy of MLB odds and lines on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Astros vs. Rockies prediction, preview
Houston Astros
The Astros are essentially your beer-league softball team — they have an offense that can put up runs with the best of them, but a lack of pitching prowess means they may need to score six runs a night to win games. So far, they’re doing that and more with an MLB-best 7.00 runs per game, also pacing the Majors with a staggering .880 OPS as a team and .220 ISO. They look like the vintage version of themselves at the plate rather than the iteration of the team that narrowly missed last year’s postseason. The biggest change is that the Stros are also leading the MLB in BB% at 14.6%, leading to an 0.73 BB/K ratio that’s getting them better looks. Their 14 homers are also second most. However, the pitching staff has taken a hit with an IL trip for Hunter Brown, and that aspect of the game doesn’t look great for the team. A 5.46 ERA is fourth worst and a 1.54 WHIP is also very poor, as is the second-highest HR/9 at 1.62.
Colorado Rockies
It’ll be another difficult season for the Rockies, who are 3-6 to start things off and are subject to the usual issues. Their 3.33 runs per game are fourth fewest and a .608 OPS as a team ranks third worst. Slashing .208/.265/.343 doesn’t spark a ton of hope, especially with the worst OBP in the MLB and an exceptionally high K% of 30.4% at the dish. In fact, they’re also worst in BB% at 5.5%, which leads to the lowest BB/K ratio in the sport at 0.18. Yep. That’s 0.18 walks per strikeout. The Rockies are 25th in ISO at .124 and are on the lower end in homers with just eight so far. Only two players to have played at least eight of the team’s nine games have an OBP over .289, so there’s much work to be done. The arms somehow aren’t the primary problem here for once either, logging a 3.89 ERA and 1.33 WHIP thus far. Both of those are perfectly serviceable marks for a team with this reputation, and a 15.0% K-BB% is actually really solid.
Tonight’s starting pitchers
For Houston, RHP Cody Bolton will throw tonight after recording just two appearances at the MLB level over the last two seasons. He tossed three innings in his 2026 debut with one earned run allowed on three hits and a walk, also striking out five and recording a save.
The Rockies are set to start Ryan Feltner, who tosses three shutout innings in his opening game of the season with just one hit and one walk allowed, plus four punchouts. He threw six games for Colorado last season and gave up 16 earned runs in that span, and his ERA hasn’t ever been better than 4.49 across the last five MLB campaigns.
Astros vs. Rockies pick, best bet
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Astros as -156 ML favorites. The Rockies are behind at +129 odds to win outright. The run total sits at 10.5 combined runs between these sides.
Best Bet: HOU Astros -1.5 (+102)
Do the Astros have a reliable starter on the mound? No! Does that matter? I also don’t think it does! This offense is firing on all cylinders and is crushing baseballs. Let’s be so for real… 7.00 runs per game is absurd. They’ve scored eight or more in six of their last eight contests with double-digit outputs in three of those. Yordan Alvarez has four homers, was robbed of another that would’ve tied him for the MLB lead by the roof of the stadium, and his OPS is 1.478. There are five everyday contributors with an OBP of .400 or better. Need I say more? Houston should crush this run line at plus odds, especially at a hitter-friendly Coors Field.
