2026 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell: Sonego [66th] vs. Rublev [15th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell Round of 16 on Thursday, No. 66-ranked Lorenzo Sonego meets No. 15 Andrey Rublev.

Rublev has -375 odds to claim a win in this match against Sonego (+270).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info

• Tournament: Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Thursday, April 16
• Court Surface: Clay

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Sonego vs. Rublev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Sonego has a 78.9% to win.

Sonego vs. Rublev Betting Odds

• Sonego’s odds to win match: +270
• Rublev’s odds to win match: -375
• Sonego’s odds to win tournament: +3300
• Rublev’s odds to win tournament: +550

Sonego vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats

• Sonego is 1-3 on clay over the past year.
• Sonego has won 67.3% of his service games on clay over the past year and 17.6% of his return games.
• Sonego has converted seven of 25 break points on clay (28.0%) over the past year and is 199th in break points won.
• Sonego was eliminated by Lorenzo Musetti (3-6, 3-6, 4-6) on January 21 in the Round of 64 of his previous tournament, the Australian Open.
• The 28-year-old Rublev, who is looking for his first tournament victory on clay in 2026, is 9-6 over the past year on that surface.
• Rublev is 123-for-164 in service games on clay courts (winning 75.0%) and 40-for-151 in return games (26.5%).
• On clay courts Rublev is 55th in break point winning percentage (33.9%) after going 37-for-109.
• In his previous tournament (the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters) on April 8, Rublev squared off against Zizou Bergs in the Round of 32 and was eliminated 4-6, 1-6.

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