Eric Rosales
• Betting Analyst
27+ years betting experience
Updated:
May 14, 2026 , 04:51 PM ET
• 4 min read
Offense won’t come easily in Dallas tonight.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) shoots over Minnesota Lynx guard Courtney Williams (10) in the third quarter at Target Center.
Both the Minnesota Lynx and Dallas Wings meet tonight, with both teams looking to settle into the 2026 season.
My Lynx vs. Wings predictions and WNBA picks expect defense to dictate the outcome on May 14.
Lynx vs Wings prediction
Lynx vs Wings best bet: Under 178.5 (-110)
The Minnesota Lynx, en route to the best record in the WNBA, whipped the Dallas Wings in four regular season meetings last year, as their opponent cratered to the league’s worst record.
But the centerpiece of that run that saw Minny win by at least 14 points in each game, Napheesa Collier, is out, recovering from offseason ankle surgery.
Dallas isn’t totally healthy either, as 2026 No. 1 pick Azzi Fudd (knee) is questionable, and they’re coming off a home loss to Atlanta.
The Lynx will use defense as their calling card for now. It’s also helped keep the score Under the total in three straight matchups vs. the Wings, with a fourth upcoming.
COVERS INTEL: Though it’s early, is holding teams to 39.6% shooting from the field and 27.6% from 3-point range, both Top 4 marks in the WNBA.
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Lynx vs Wings same-game parlay
Paige Bueckers has cracked the 20-point plateau once this season, but she’s yet to do it in three games against the Lynx, held to a high of 17 points. Minny has held her to just 37.1% shooting so far in her young career.
Veteran Natasha Howard adds some frontcourt help to the lineup with Collier recovering, and she had three big rebound games against the Wings as a member of the Fever last year, pulling down at least 12 boards in three of four matchups.
Lynx vs Wings SGP
- Under 178.5 points
- Paige Bueckers Under 18.5 points
- Natasha Howard Over 7.5 rebounds
Lynx vs Wings first basket scorer: Kayla McBride (+650)
Kayla McBride leads the Lynx in scoring in the early part of the season and is shooting a crisp 63.6% on two-point field goals. Dallas has conceded the opening bucket in each of its first two games.
Lynx vs Wings odds
- Spread: Minnesota +3.5 (-110) | Dallas -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Minnesota +145 | Dallas -170
- Over/Under: Over 178.5 (-110) | Under 178.5 (-110)
Lynx vs Wings trend
The Wings have lost 10 of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Lynx vs Wings
Location
College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Date
Thursday, May 14, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video
Lynx vs Wings latest injuries
Lynx: Dorka Juhasz (foot) and Napheesa Collier (ankle) ruled out.
Wings: Awak Kuier ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.
Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.
When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.
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