New Emerson College Polling/PIX 11 surveys measure key New York City Democratic congressional primaries in New York’s 7th, 10th, and 12th districts.
NY-07: Valdez 23%, Reynoso 21%, Won 13%
A new Emerson poll finds a close race in New York’s 10th District to replace retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez: 23% of Democratic primary voters support Assembly Member Claire Valdez, 21% support Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and 13% support City Councilor Julie Won. Forty-three percent are undecided ahead of the June primary.
“There is a clear age divide among primary voters; voters under 40 support Valdez over Reynoso, 33% to 15%, while voters in their 40s are split, 23% Valdez to 22% Reynoso,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Voters over 50 break for Reynoso over Valdez, 27% to 13%.”
Men break for Valdez over Reynoso, 29% to 22%, while 18% support Won. Women are split: 20% support Reynoso, 18% Valdez, and 9% Won. A majority of women, 53%, are undecided, compared to 30% of men.
NY-10: Lander 57%, Goldman 23%
In the Democratic primary for New York’s 10th congressional district, Former Comptroller Brad Lander holds a significant 34-point lead over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, leading 57% to 23% with 20% of voters undecided.
“While all age groups break for Lander, his most significant support comes from voters under 40, who break for Lander over Goldman, 73% to 15%,” Kimball said. “Voters over 70 are more split; 38% support Lander, while 31% support Goldman.”
NY-12: Lasher 22%, Bores 20%, Schlossberg 11%, Conway 10%
In New York’s 12th congressional district, 22% support Assemblyman Micah Lasher, 20% Assemblyman Alex Bores, 11% social media commentator Jack Schlossberg, and 10% lawyer George Conway. Thirty-two percent are undecided.
“Candidate preference varies by gender in the 12th district: men break for Bores over Lasher, 27% to 19%, while women break for Lasher over Bores, 24% to 15%, followed by Schlossberg at 13%,” Kimball noted.
Lasher and Bores’ support spans across age groups, while Conway’s support is concentrated among those 60 and over, at 18%.
Mamdani approval strong among Democratic Primary voters across districts; majority of voters feel safe in their neighborhoods
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani holds a positive job approval rating among Democratic Primary voters in the congressional districts: 78% of Democratic voters in the 7th District approve of Mamdani, 79% in the 10th District, and 66% in the 12th District.
A majority of Democratic Primary voters in the 7th, 10th, and 12th congressional districts generally feel “very safe” in their neighborhoods; 68% feel “very safe” in the 10th district, while 61% feel “very safe” in the 7th and 12th districts, respectively.
Voters in all three districts were asked how they would rate the condition of the economy: a majority of Democratic voters in the 7th District (58%) and 10th District (52%) describe the economy as “poor,” while a plurality in the 12th District (48%) describe it as poor.
Methodology
The Emerson College Polling New York City surveys were conducted May 16-17, 2026.
NY-07: The sample of likely Democratic Primary voters, n=350 has a margin of error of +/- 5.2 percent. NY-10: The sample of likely Democratic Primary voters, n=450, has a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percent. NY-12: The sample of likely Democratic Primary voters, n=425, has a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent.
The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.
Data was collected by contacting registered voters from a voter file provided by Aristotle using MMS text-to-web and email. The survey was hosted on QuestionPro. All respondents were recruited using customized links that prevent responses from anyone outside of the poll’s sample frame. Panel responses were matched to the Aristotle voter file using respondents’ full name and ZIP code. The survey was offered in English.
All questions asked in this survey with exact wording and order, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found below. The survey was sponsored by PIX11 of Nexstar Media.
