The $31 trillion Treasury market has an unequivocal message for Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve: Interest rates aren’t high enough.
Yields on policy-sensitive US two-year notes have surged to their highest level in more than a year after a trove of economic data led traders to price in at least one quarter-point rate hike as soon as October. At around 4.15%, the two-year yield trades well above the Fed’s current policy band of 3.5% to 3.75%, a divergence that began in March.
