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Prediction, pick for Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling at UFC Vegas 119

Cooper Albers previews Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi.

Seasoned veteran meets surging prospect on Saturday night, as light heavyweights Ion Cutelaba and Navajo Stirling collide inside the Meta APEX at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Cutelaba (20–11–1, 9–10–1 UFC) has won three of his last four bouts, punctuated by a first-round submission win over Oumar Sy in March. Stirling (9–0, 4–0 UFC) is coming off his first stoppage victory inside the Octagon, a second-round TKO over Bruno Lopes later that month.

Stirling enters as a heavy -325 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Cutelaba is a +260 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 1.5 rounds.

Cutelaba vs. Stirling Preview

Ion Cutelaba

  • 20–11–1 (9–10–1 UFC)
  • 13–3 (T)KO
  • 4–4 SUB

Ion Cutelaba could celebrate his 10th Octagon anniversary in style, eyeing a chance to rejoin the light heavyweight rankings for the first time since 2022. He’s won three of his last four bouts, most recently stopping rising prospect Oumar Sy via submission within the first five minutes of their March meeting. 

Aptly dubbed “The Hulk,” Cutelaba gets his nickname from being an explosive brawler and power grappler who invites chaos from the opening bell. It’s with this wrecking-ball style that the 32-year-old contender has notched 17 finishes in 20 pro victories — including 13 KOs and 16 first-round stoppages. 

But on the flip side, Cutelaba has racked up a ton of mileage at this point in his career. With his aggressive brand of fighting, it comes as no surprise that seven of his 11 losses have come inside the distance.

Navajo Stirling

  • 9–0 (4–0 UFC)
  • 5–0 (T)KO
  • 0–0 SUB

New Zealand churns out elite kickboxing prospects like nobody’s business. Training at the renowned City Kickboxing alongside Israel Adesanya, Carlos Ulberg, and Dan Hooker, the 28-year-old Navajo Stirling has looked right at home since joining his teammates in the UFC. 

The undefeated contender is 4-for-4 so far in the Octagon, riding high off his first stoppage victory with the promotion (fifth overall). Back in March, he produced a commanding TKO win over Bruno Lopes on Adesanya’s undercard in Seattle. On Saturday, he’ll be looking to add to his highlight reel to cement himself as one of the division’s most promising rising talents.

Cutelaba vs. Stirling Pick, Best Bet

With a towering frame and solid defensive grappling, Stirling should seize control of the battlefield — weathering early storms from the aggressive Cutelaba. Look for New Zealand’s Next Top Kickboxing Prospect to dictate the tempo while landing shots at distance, piecing up his Moldovan opponent throughout the fight. And after finally securing that elusive first finish inside the Octagon, Stirling looks poised to make it back-to-back stoppages on Saturday night. 

Best Bet: Navajo Stirling by KO/TKO/DQ (+110)

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