Every week in DFS feels like trick-or-treat season, and for NFL DFS Week 9, it’s no different. Some lineups deliver candy; others hide a razor blade in the apple. In this week’s Perfect Lineup, we went deep into the data, building a few unique tournament lineups, simulating them thousands of times and searching for the elusive NFL DFS perfect lineup — those NFL DFS picks with the combination of projection leverage, and ceiling that can take down a slate.
NFL DFS Week 9 Picks: Build the Perfect DraftKings Lineup with Sims
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Lineup 1: Geno Smith’s Redemption Stack
It’s Halloween week, so why not get weird? The first lineup did just that, starting with a Geno Smith double-stack that few will have the stomach to click. Smith has been erratic and turnover-prone, but volatility is exactly what creates leverage in large-field tournaments.
We paired Smith with Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers, a modestly priced and under-owned trio facing a Jacksonville defense that’s been inconsistent against the pass. Even with linebacker Devin Lloyd returning, it sets up as a neutral to positive game script in a narrow 3-point spread.
Lineup 2: Jackson Dart and the Mid-Range Value Stack
For the second lineup, we pivoted to value and correlation with Jaxson Dart at quarterback and Wan’Dale Robinson as his primary stack partner. The goal wasn’t to chase a high-ceiling, low-floor flier alone; it was to open salary for elite skill players like Christian McCaffrey and Ja’Marr Chase.
Running it back with McCaffrey made perfect sense given the Giants’ struggles to contain running backs, while Kimani Vidal offered strong mid-range stability at $6,300. The build also added Tyrone Tracy Jr. in the flex, creating a lineup that combined two affordable stacks: One quarterback-wideout and one mini-correlated bring-back.
Lineup 1 – Raiders Stack
Lineup 2 – Giants Stack
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