Bills and Panthers Fall Victim to Upsets, Texans Stay Alive in AFC Playoff Hunt

Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season saw the Seattle Seahawks smoke the Arizona Cardinals, the Houston Texans sneak away with a victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the New York Jets beat the Cleveland Browns in a competition of teams battling for the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
These games, among others, led to movement in our PFSN power rankings this week compared to last. Coming out of Tuesday’s NFL trade deadline, there are a handful of teams that emerge with plenty of momentum for the remainder of the season. Here’s how the NFL is shaping up entering Week 11.
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32) Tennessee Titans
- Last Week’s Ranking: 32
- Playoff Odds: 0.00%
Coming off four consecutive losses, the Tennessee Titans had the chance to regroup in their bye week. It’s practically a lost season from a competitive perspective, with a 1-8 record, though they can hope their young players perform well down the stretch.
31) Cincinnati Bengals
- Last Week’s Ranking: 29
- Playoff Odds: 7.80%
The Cincinnati Bengals had their bye week in Week 10, meaning they stay put at 3-6 this week. They face a brutal stretch of opponents in the coming weeks, which will make it tough for them to climb much higher in these power rankings.
30) New Orleans Saints
- Last Week’s Ranking: 31
- Playoff Odds: 0.40%
The first win of the Tyler Shough era came on Sunday, as the New Orleans Saints upset the Panthers 17-7 to boost their record to 2-8. They likely took some pride in hurting a division rival’s playoff chances in the process.
Obviously, the Saints are a long way away from being a serious playoff contender in a loaded NFC conference. For a first-year head coach in Kellen Moore, though, picking up wins like this will be something to work with going forward.
29) Cleveland Browns
- Last Week’s Ranking: 26
- Playoff Odds: 3.40%
In a battle of two of the NFL’s bottom-feeders, it was the Cleveland Browns who came away as the worst of the worst. That’s not to say they’re the worst team in the entire league, and these power rankings indicate they’re not. Still, losing to a team like the Jets is pretty tough to bounce back from.
At 2-7, the Browns would need a miracle to make the postseason at this rate, so that shouldn’t be the expectation for the remainder of their season. A lackluster offense means they’re more likely to compete for the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft than that.
28) Las Vegas Raiders
- Last Week’s Ranking: 28
- Playoff Odds: 1.90%
The Las Vegas Raiders’ defense deserves credit for holding Sean Payton’s Broncos to only ten points on Thursday night. Their offense deserves blame, though, for only scoring seven points in the close loss.
It’s been three losses in a row for the Raiders now, and their 2-7 record gives them one of the worst records in the NFL coming out of Week 10. They’ve shown some flashes over the course of the season, but they’re hardly consistent enough to be taken seriously as a playoff threat.
27) New York Jets
- Last Week’s Ranking: 30
- Playoff Odds: 0.30%
Statements that are factually correct but feel weird to say out loud: the New York Jets are on a two-game winning streak. After tearing it down at the NFL trade deadline, they came away with the 27-20 victory over the Browns.
The Jets are still only 2-7 this year, so the chances they make much noise as far as the postseason goes are slim to none. That said, the biggest winner of this is Justin Fields, as more wins make it less likely they’ll be in a position to draft a top quarterback in the 2026 draft.
26) New York Giants
- Last Week’s Ranking: 25
- Playoff Odds: 0.70%
Jaxson Dart looked the part as the New York Giants marched down the field against the Bears on Sunday, but a fumble by the rookie and an eventual injury played a role in their fourth-quarter collapse. Chicago ended up winning 24-20.
As far as 2-8 teams go, the Giants are about as good as they get. They beat the Eagles and Chargers earlier in the year and have been competitive with numerous NFL playoff contenders. They just can’t seem to finish the job, for one reason or another.
25) Carolina Panthers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 20
- Playoff Odds: 36.50%
Perhaps no NFL team is tougher to get a read on right now than the Carolina Panthers. They entered Week 10 having won three of their last four games, with their most recent victory being an upset win over the Packers at Lambeau Field. But this week, they lost by ten to the bottom-feeding Saints.
The Panthers are still firmly in the playoff hunt at 5-5, though. A few more wins, along with a couple of losses from the Buccaneers, could get them into first place in the NFC South. It just depends on which version of their team shows up.
24) Miami Dolphins
- Last Week’s Ranking: 27
- Playoff Odds: 0.50%
As bizarre as this season has been for the Miami Dolphins, their emphatic victory over the Bills was another page in this strange season. Most notably, De’Von Achane ran for 174 yards and two touchdowns on 22 carries in the win.
They sit at 3-7, so the playoffs seem like a long shot at this stage, but a win over a team as talented as Buffalo shows that the Dolphins still have plenty of talent on their roster. The rest of the season should be interesting to monitor.
23) Arizona Cardinals
- Last Week’s Ranking: 19
- Playoff Odds: 4.00%
It’s usually tough to come back in the NFL when you go out of the first quarter down 21-0. The Arizona Cardinals tried their best, but they ultimately fell 44-22 to the Seahawks in a loss that dropped their season record to 3-6.
Jacoby Brissett had some high highs and low lows on Sunday, but it wasn’t enough to overcome Seattle’s multiple fumble recoveries for touchdowns and their explosive offense. The Cardinals are only 1-5 in their last six games, and their fleeting playoff hopes got even worse with their blowout loss to the Seahawks.
22) Washington Commanders
- Last Week’s Ranking: 21
- Playoff Odds: 12.50%
In the first game without Jayden Daniels after his dislocated elbow, Marcus Mariota stepped back into the starting lineup for the Washington Commanders. Unfortunately for him, he found himself in a difficult situation going against the Lions, and they got blown up in the process.
Now, the Commanders are losers of five games in a row, having given up an average of 35.8 points per game in that stretch. Without their star quarterback and with a defense that’s been struggling all year, their postseason hopes at 3-7 have just about wrapped up.
21) Dallas Cowboys
- Last Week’s Ranking: 23
- Playoff Odds: 10.50%
The Dallas Cowboys had the week off with their Week 10 bye, moving up a few spots due to movement around them. It remains to be seen if their porous defense will improve with their blockbuster additions of Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson at the NFL trade deadline.
20) Atlanta Falcons
- Last Week’s Ranking: 24
- Playoff Odds: 10.90%
It feels odd bumping the Atlanta Falcons up this many spots after coming away with a loss this week. That said, some of the other teams around them suffered more embarrassing losses than they did, while the Falcons had a competitive outing against one of the NFL’s top teams in the Colts.
Tallying seven sacks and scoring 25 points wasn’t enough to beat Indianapolis, as Michael Penix Jr. struggled against their defense. The Falcons are now losers of each of their last four games, and a 3-6 record will make it tough for them to get back into the playoff hunt.
19) Jacksonville Jaguars
- Last Week’s Ranking: 16
- Playoff Odds: 47.10%
Things were looking up for the Jacksonville Jaguars after their Week 5 victory over the Chiefs. Since then, however, they’ve lost three of their last four games, including their 36-29 loss to the Texans on Sunday.
Granted, the Jaguars are still 5-4, with wins over the Chiefs and 49ers. But their blowout loss to the Rams a few weeks ago was a major red flag, and they couldn’t finish the job against Houston in a key divisional matchup.
18) Minnesota Vikings
- Last Week’s Ranking: 15
- Playoff Odds: 38.70%
Having lost three of their last four matchups, the Minnesota Vikings fell to 4-5 after losing to the Ravens on Sunday. Granted, that one win came against a very talented Lions team, but their record puts them behind in a competitive NFC North.
J.J. McCarthy threw two interceptions and completed just 47.6% of his passes in the loss to Baltimore. Their recent streak of losses is still manageable to overcome, though, and their Week 11 matchup against the Bears will be key to getting them back into the Wild Card race.
17) Houston Texans
- Last Week’s Ranking: 22
- Playoff Odds: 14.20%
A 0-3 start to the 2025 NFL season triggered some alarm in the Houston Texans’ fan base, but they’ve since improved to 4-5, aided by their nail-biting victory over the Jaguars on Sunday. It was made even more impressive by C.J. Stroud’s absence, as Davis Mills took control at quarterback this week.
The Texans are still a few games behind the Colts atop the AFC South, but they’re still firmly in competition for a Wild Card spot. With a couple more victories in the coming weeks, they could find their way into the postseason.
16) Chicago Bears
- Last Week’s Ranking: 18
- Playoff Odds: 37.20%
The games haven’t always been pretty, but the Chicago Bears have won six of their last seven games after a comeback victory at home over the Giants on Sunday. At 6-3, they remain competitive in the NFC North and the Wild Card race.
Chicago ranks a little lower than its record would suggest, due to its weak schedule of victories to date. However, they’ll have a chance to prove any remaining doubters wrong as their divisional matchups pick up in the second half of the year. If they can win even two of their remaining four NFC North games, the playoffs seem likely.
15) San Francisco 49ers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 12
- Playoff Odds: 74.10%
Although the San Francisco 49ers still have a 6-4 record, their 44-22 loss to the Seahawks shows they have a lot of work to do. Perhaps more importantly, though, they’re on track to miss out on a Wild Card spot, giving the No. 7 spot in the NFC over to Chicago, if the season ended today.
Luckily for the 49ers, the season does not end today, in fact. They’ve also already gotten through the most challenging part of their schedule, which could help them stack up some wins to get into a Wild Card position.
14) Pittsburgh Steelers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 14
- Playoff Odds: 76.50%
Though the Pittsburgh Steelers are still the top team in the AFC North by record, that momentum is fading fast. Not only is Baltimore now on their tail, but the Steelers are now losers of three of their last four games after falling to the Chargers on Sunday night.
Aaron Rodgers threw two interceptions in the loss, while D.K. Metcalf was limited to just two catches for 35 yards for the evening. The Steelers are still on track to finish above .500, thus keeping the streak of Mike Tomlin’s winning seasons alive, but there’s now valid reasoning to question if they can stay that way.
13) Baltimore Ravens
- Last Week’s Ranking: 17
- Playoff Odds: 24.30%
The Baltimore Ravens continued their ascent back into playoff contention on Sunday, defeating the Vikings 27-19 in a tight battle. The victory saw the Ravens improve to 4-5, having won each of their last three games and each of Lamar Jackson’s two starts since returning from injury.
As the Ravens get closer to .500, they’ve built up plenty of momentum after a horrific start to the 2025 NFL season. They have some challenging games to close the year, but two games against the Bengals and a Week 11 matchup against the Jets should see them continue to gain more yards.
12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 10
- Playoff Odds: 90.90%
A loss to the Patriots sees the Tampa Bay Buccaneers fall two spots down in PFSN’s power rankings, and they fell to 6-3 in the loss. They’ve lost two of their last three matchups but are still firmly in control of the top spot in the NFC South.
Going up against the Bills and Rams in consecutive games in the future, the Buccaneers would’ve loved to have that win over New England in their back pocket. They’re still in a good position to win their division, but recent losses call into question their ability to do much more.
11) New England Patriots
- Last Week’s Ranking: 11
- Playoff Odds: 93.90%
The New England Patriots are winners of seven games in a row, and the Buccaneers are clearly one of the best teams they’ve defeated in their winning streak so far. The 28-23 win brings them up to 8-2 this year.
Of the seven games the Patriots still have on their schedule, the Bills are the only team on track to make the postseason this year. That makes it entirely possible for them to continue their winning ways into the end of the regular season.
10) Los Angeles Chargers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 13
- Playoff Odds: 77.50%
The Los Angeles Chargers are now on a three-game winning streak after defeating the Steelers handily on Sunday night. After a slow stretch of games in October, they’ve turned things around and now sit comfortable in playoff contention.
Barring a late-season collapse, the Chargers feel like a likely playoff team given how their defense has bounced back in recent weeks. The question now is whether they’ll win the AFC West; the Broncos are still stacking up plenty of wins, and the Chiefs can never be counted out of the equation, either.
9) Buffalo Bills
- Last Week’s Ranking: 2
- Playoff Odds: 88.60%
Sunday was a brutal loss for the Buffalo Bills, as they fell 30-13 to the Dolphins in one of the bigger upsets of the year. They ended up falling to a 6-3 record, despite Josh Allen’s 306 passing yards and two touchdowns.
In the first three quarters of the game, the Bills didn’t score a single touchdown against a Dolphins defense that’s struggled all year. Everybody has their down games, and Buffalo is still a strong AFC contender. That said, this was one of the bigger upsets of the 2025 NFL regular season.
8) Green Bay Packers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 8
- Playoff Odds: 70.30%
Stay tuned for the Green Bay Packers’ updated ranking after Monday Night Football.
7) Denver Broncos
- Last Week’s Ranking: 7
- Playoff Odds: 91.90%
A 10-7 win over a team like the Raiders is hardly enough to consider the Denver Broncos a true Super Bowl contender. For a team to be in that tier, they’d need to have won by a lot more. That said, it’s tough to ignore Denver’s seven-game winning streak and 8-2 record.
With matchups against the Chiefs, Chargers, and Packers coming up, the Broncos will need more offensive firepower to finish atop the AFC. However, you take wins however you can get them in the NFL, and Denver is well-positioned for another postseason appearance this year.
6) Indianapolis Colts
- Last Week’s Ranking: 4
- Playoff Odds: 95.50%
It wasn’t always pretty, but thanks to a 244-yard, three-touchdown outing from Jonathan Taylor, the Indianapolis Colts flew into Berlin and picked up the overtime victory over the Falcons to kick off Sunday’s action.
After looking like an NFL MVP candidate in the first half of the season, Daniel Jones has come back down to Earth in the last two games. That said, you’ll take wins whenever you can get them, and an 8-2 record still has them firmly atop the AFC South.
5) Detroit Lions
- Last Week’s Ranking: 6
- Playoff Odds: 59.60%
The Detroit Lions stepped into Washington as favorites, but few could’ve expected they would throttle the Commanders in the way that they did on Sunday. Their 44-22 victory brought them to 6-3 for the season, keeping them competitive in a loaded NFC North.
The quality of losses the Lions have had is as strong as any team in the NFL, and they have decisive wins over the Commanders, Buccaneers, Bears, and Ravens in the process. They’re off to a great start this year, but their play as the NFC North divisional matchups pick up will tell how serious of Super Bowl contenders they are.
4) Kansas City Chiefs
- Last Week’s Ranking: 2
- Playoff Odds: 76.70%
After their bye week in Week 10, the Kansas City Chiefs still sit with a 5-4 record. They’re still in the Wild Card race and remain fighting for the top spot in the AFC West, but their difficult strength of schedule gives them the benefit of the doubt.
3) Philadelphia Eagles
- Last Week’s Ranking: 9
- Playoff Odds: 93.60%
Stay tuned for the Philadelphia Eagles’ updated ranking after Monday Night Football.
2) Seattle Seahawks
- Last Week’s Ranking: 7
- Playoff Odds: 75.70%
The Seattle Seahawks are winners of their last four games, and they’ve scored 82 points in their previous two games. Their 44-22 victory puts them at 7-2 on the season and places them near the top of the NFL heading into Week 11.
Sam Darnold looks like a genuine NFL MVP candidate, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba seems like a potential Offensive Player of the Year candidate. Seattle’s offense is on another level, and if its defense keeps making plays, it’ll be unstoppable.
1) Los Angeles Rams
- Last Week’s Ranking: 1
- Playoff Odds: 84.60%
Much like the Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams are now winners of four straight matchups, and their winning streak continued with a resounding 42-26 win over the 49ers on Sunday. Matthew Stafford dominated in particular, throwing for 280 passing yards and four touchdowns in the win.
The Seahawks have the misfortune of battling in a rugged NFC West, but they’re firmly in position to be a serious Super Bowl contender. They’ve already surpassed 30 points scored in four of their games this season.




