Data Skrive
The Indiana Pacers (7-31) will host the Miami Heat (20-17) after dropping seven home games in a row. Saturday’s matchup between the Heat and the Pacers features the Heat as solid 6.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 235.5.
Check out everything you need to know about the Heat-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
- TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Pacers Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -6.5 -114 -106 235.5 -110 -110 -260 +215
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Heat vs. Pacers Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (235.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 – Pacers 113
Heat vs. Pacers Betting Insights
- Heat games have finished over 235.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 20 times (out of 37) this season.
- The Pacers have played in 16 games this year (42.1% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 235.5 points.
- These two teams average a combined 230.9 points per game, 4.6 fewer points than the total of 235.5 set for this game.
- The Heat and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 1.4 more points per game than the over/under of 235.5 set in this outing.
- Miami has been the favorite in 16 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (62.5%) in those contests.
- Indiana has been victorious in five, or 15.2%, of the 33 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
- Miami has won its one head-to-head meeting with Indiana.
- The Heat also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when facing off with the Pacers.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests.
- Miami has averaged a total of 237.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.1 greater than this game’s over/under of 235.5.
- The Heat are 21-15-1 against the spread this season.
- Miami has an ATS record of 5-3 in its eight games when favored by 6.5 points or more so far this season.
- The Heat have gone over the point total in 47.4% of their opportunities this year (18 times in 38 games with a set point total).
- The Heat put up 120.1 points per game, only 0.6 more points than the 119.5 the Pacers give up.
- Miami is 15-3 against the spread and 13-5 overall when scoring more than 119.5 points.
- The Heat make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.6 percentage points lower than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (48.5%).
- At home, the Heat own a better record against the spread (11-8-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (10-7-1).
- Miami has gone over the over/under in nine of 19 home games (47.4%). It has fared better on the road, going over the total in nine of 18 matchups (50%).
- The Heat have played better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 9-5, compared to going 1-1 in away games.
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.1 3 Points Allowed 117.4 21 Rebounds 45.6 6 Assists 28.7 7 Steals 9.4 6 Blocks 4.5 19
Heat Leaders
- Norman Powell puts up 24.3 points, 2.7 assists and 3.8 rebounds per contest.
- Kel’el Ware averages 12.3 points, 10.6 boards and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 54.8% from the field and 43.0% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 16.2 points, 4.7 assists and 5.3 rebounds per game.
- Bam Adebayo averages 16.9 points, 2.6 assists and 9.6 boards.
- Andrew Wiggins averages 15.9 points, 2.9 assists and 4.8 boards.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 21.5 -112 24.3 Tyler Herro 20.5 -136 22.3 Bam Adebayo 16.5 -118 16.9 Andrew Wiggins 13.5 -130 15.9 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 11.5 -130 16.2
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers have gone 1-9 in their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
- Indiana has averaged a total of 228.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 7.3 fewer than this matchup’s over/under of 235.5.
- The Pacers are 19-19-0 against the spread this year.
- Indiana has been underdogs by 6.5 points or more 18 times this season and are 9-9 ATS in those matchups.
- The Pacers have gone over the point total 39.5% of the time this season (15 of 38 games with a set point total).
- The Pacers score 6.6 fewer points per game (110.8) than the Heat give up (117.4).
- Indiana is 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall when it scores more than 117.4 points.
- The Pacers have shot at a 44.3% rate from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points below the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
- The Pacers have been better against the spread at home (11-9-0) than away (8-10-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Indiana’s games have gone over more often at home (nine of 20, 45%) than away (six of 18, 33.3%).
- This year the Pacers are 2-2 at home as moneyline favorites (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-1 (.000).
Pacers Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 110.8 28 Points Allowed 119.5 25 Rebounds 42.4 24 Assists 24.5 28 Steals 7.3 27 Blocks 5.1 11
Pacers Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Pascal Siakam gets the Pacers 23.9 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
- Andrew Nembhard is putting up 17.2 points, 2.4 rebounds and 7.0 assists per contest. He’s making 43.8% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
- Jay Huff is averaging 8.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 44.1% of his shots from the field and 31.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 treys per contest.
- Jarace Walker is putting up 8.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is sinking 35.9% of his shots from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 treys per contest.
- The Pacers are getting 10.2 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from T.J. McConnell this year.
Pacers Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Pascal Siakam 24.5 -132 23.9 Andrew Nembhard 17.5 -114 17.2 Aaron Nesmith 16.5 -104 14.8 T.J. McConnell 10.5 -106 10.2 Jay Huff 9.5 -108 8.1
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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