- The Rams top the NFC West: Los Angeles leads the NFC West with an 8-2 record after toppling the Seahawks 21-19.
- Did the Chiefs lose the AFC West in Week 11? A 22-19 loss to the Broncos puts the Chiefs at 5-5. Are their playoff hopes in doubt?
- Get PFF+ for 40% off: Use promo code BLACKFRIDAY to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.
Estimated Reading Time: 26 minutes
The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team’s market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.
1. Los Angeles Rams (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 98%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 12%
The Rams did the bulk of their scoring early, tallying two touchdowns in the first quarter to build up a lead before letting their defense really take over in the 21-19 win against the Seahawks. A matchup between two of the best all-around teams in the NFL could have gone either way, but it was the Rams’ defense — which now ranks third in EPA per play — that stood tall, picking Sam Darnold off four times to finally pull ahead in the NFC West at 8-2. The Rams have a 12% chance of winning the Super Bowl, best in the NFL.
2. Kansas City Chiefs (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 59%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
Alarm bells must surely be ringing in Kansas City. On one hand, the Chiefs aren’t playing poorly. The offense has struggled in its last two outings, but this version of the Chiefs’ offense probably has a higher ceiling than previous ones. But after the 22-19 loss to the Broncos, the Chiefs are now 5-5 and officially on the outside looking in. They’re also four games behind the Broncos in the AFC West. The division feels all but gone, but if the offense — which still sits second in EPA per play — can lock in and make a run, Kansas City can push its way back into the playoffs via the wild card.
3. Baltimore Ravens (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 76%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
The Ravens were on upset watch heading into the fourth quarter while struggling to pull away from an elite Browns defense. Lamar Jackson (71.7 grade; 18th) labored through the game and was sacked five times, but a late flurry of points — including a 35-yard touchdown run from Mark Andrews (63.1 grade; 35th) — was enough to lift the Ravens over the Browns and to 5-5 on the season. A Steelers win in the AFC North doesn’t help Baltimore’s aspirations, but until a Week 14 face-off, all the Ravens can do is keep pace.
4. Green Bay Packers (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 75%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
The Packers have spent most of the season avoiding banana peels by the skin of their teeth, and it happened again in Week 11 against the Jameis Winston-led New York Giants. This Packers team is talented on both sides of the ball and clearly has the chops to be one of the best in the NFL, but their inability to handle lesser opponents without issue is concerning. Quarterback Jordan Love (84.4 grade; 7th) did leave the game with an injury early in the first half, but returned to help deliver the win and push the Packers to 6-3-1 despite four drops from his receivers.
5. Buffalo Bills (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 91%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
Josh Allen (84.7; 6th) put forth a superhuman performance against the Buccaneers, scoring six total touchdowns (three rushing, three passing) while earning a 72.4 grade in the 44-32 win. It’s hopefully enough to put a Week 10 loss to the Dolphins in the rearview mirror, though legitimate concerns over the defense — a unit that ranks 18th in EPA per play allowed — are still valid. Buffalo’s group has allowed over 30 points in back-to-back games. But when the offense, and Allen in particular, is operating at such a high level, it’s covered up.
6. Detroit Lions (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 74%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
For the first time since Week 7 of the 2023 season, the Lions were held to under 10 points in a game. Aside from Jahmyr Gibbs (84.7 grade; 2nd) — who caught five passes for 107 yards — and receiver Jameson Williams (66.8 grade; 57th) — who scored the Lions’ only touchdown of the game — the passing game struggled to click. The Lions’ aggression on fourth down didn’t pay off either, as they went 0-for-5 on fourth-down conversions while trying to keep drives alive. A very out-of-character performance from one of the best offenses in the NFL. But a positive to take? The Detroit defense looked sharp and is eighth in EPA per play.
7. Philadelphia Eagles (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 99%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 10%
The Eagles’ defense has been a black hole for two of the best offenses in the NFL over the last two games, giving up just 16 total points against the Packers and Lions. This was as good as it gets for defenses. The Eagles permitted -0.410 EPA per play in Week 11, and completely shut down both elements of the Lions’ offense. The 16-9 win pushes the Eagles to 8-2, further strengthening their hold at the top of the NFC East.
8. Seattle Seahawks (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 87%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
The Seahawks’ offense, one of the most efficient in the NFL so far this season, struggled against the Rams’ defense on Sunday, with quarterback Sam Darnold (88.9 grade; 2nd) throwing four interceptions and having his worst game of the season. The defense still played lights out; for the offense to score just one touchdown and still lose by just two points means the sky is not falling in Seattle. This is still a very good football team.
9. Denver Broncos (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 96%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 10%
Once again, the Broncos keep finding ways to win football games despite less-than-stellar performances from the offense. In truth, this was one of Bo Nix’s (74.0 grade; 13th) better games, registering an 85.3 grade while adding four big-time throws. The defense still did the heavy lifting against one of the best offenses in the NFL, but this wasn’t a slouch performance from the Denver offense. The Broncos are now 9-2 and have a 76% chance of winning the AFC West.
10. San Francisco 49ers (Up 6)
Chance of making playoffs: 86%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
Welcome back, Brock Purdy. The 49ers quarterback started for the first time since the Week 4 loss to the Jaguars. Purdy compiled a 61.9 grade in the 41-22 win against the Cardinals, completing 19-of-26 pass attempts for 200 yards and three touchdowns, delivering a performance to remind fans just how good this offense can be. Mac Jones (76.8 grade; 11th) has been solid under center, paving the way for Purdy to step back in and help lead the 49ers — who are now 7-4 — to the postseason.
11. Indianapolis Colts (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 83%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
The Colts better have rested up on their Week 11 bye after defeating the Falcons in overtime in Germany, because they now return to the third-toughest remaining schedule in the NFL. How much of an issue will that be for one of the best teams in football? The Colts have sidestepped almost all adversity, led by Jonathan Taylor (84.6 grade; 3rd) and the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. Indianapolis’ rugged schedule features matchups against the Chiefs, Texans (twice), Seahawks, Jaguars (twice) and 49ers. It’s time to see what this Colts team is really made of.
12. Los Angeles Chargers (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 61%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
The Chargers suffered their heaviest defeat of the Jim Harbaugh era in Week 11, losing 35-6 to the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road. The offense never got going, with Justin Herbert (85.7 grade; 5th) taking a brutal hit and leaving the game before halftime before returning in the second half. Herbert was pressured on 39.1% of his dropbacks. The reality is, this is probably a performance where you just burn the tape, but the health of Herbert is the main concern coming out of the loss. Luckily, the Chargers have a bye in Week 12.
13. Houston Texans (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 32%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Texans have won five of their last seven games and, after a slow start to the season, are creeping back into the AFC wild-card picture. The defense has been the driving force of their success, especially with C.J. Stroud (68.3 grade; 24th) missing the last two contests: Houston has allowed 16.3 points per game and is first in EPA per play allowed. A playoff push will remain tough for the Texans — they’ve got the fifth-toughest remaining schedule in the NFL — but with players like Will Anderson Jr. (91.0 grade; 3rd), who has 55 pressures on the season, the Texans’ defense will make life even tougher for its opponents.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 85%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
A tough loss for the Buccaneers on the road against the Bills. The Buccaneers have been constantly battling to join the NFL’s elite over the last two seasons, but it feels like they’re a team at the top of that second tier in the NFL. The offense, elevated by a huge day for running back Sean Tucker — who compiled a 70.8 grade — hung with the Bills, but the defense allowed 7.8 yards per play in the loss. The Buccaneers now have just a half-game lead over the Panthers at the top of the NFC South.
15. New England Patriots (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 96%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
The Patriots are rolling. Their 27-14 win against the Jets on Thursday night meant they were the first team in the NFL to reach nine wins for the season, moving their win streak to a league-best eight games. Granted, the Patriots’ schedule — the easiest in the NFL to date—has done the team some favors, but Drake Maye (86.0 grade; 4th) and the offense, which ranks seventh in EPA per play, have consistently impressed.
16. Chicago Bears (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 57%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Bears have won six of their last seven games and are rolling after defeating the Vikings 19-17 thanks to a walk-off field goal. Sure, they’re currently the kings of winning one-score contests — and in the past, that has come back to bite certain teams. But the Bears have been playing good football, and Caleb Williams (76.9 grade; 10th) is starting to find his feet in Ben Johnson’s offense. The Bears are now 7-3 and own sole possession of the top spot in the NFC North. Who saw that coming?
17. Jacksonville Jaguars (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 64%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
What a huge win for the Jaguars in Week 11. Things had been dicey in the last few weeks, and the Jaguars had lost three of their last four games heading into a Week 11 matchup against the Chargers with a lot on the line. Liam Coen emphasized the running game, with Travis Etienne (75.9 grade; 14th) and Bhayshul Tuten (66.3 grade; 41st) combining for 147 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 34 carries. Trevor Lawrence (68.6 grade; 23rd) added two touchdowns — one on the ground and one passing. The defense made life a living hell for Justin Herbert and the Chargers’ offense, too, sacking the quarterback twice and holding Los Angeles to 3.0 yards per play.
18. Minnesota Vikings (Down 4)
Chance of making playoffs: 6%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The biggest concern around J.J. McCarthy in his five starts has been accuracy. McCarthy’s 50.4% off-target rate through five games is by far the highest in the NFL, and he completed just 16-of-32 pass attempts for 150 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions in the 19-17 loss to the Bears. The lack of offensive production wasn’t just on McCarthy — the Vikings suffered six drops in the loss — but McCarthy’s inconsistency has hurt the team in recent weeks.
19. Pittsburgh Steelers (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 36%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The Steelers, despite losing Aaron Rodgers (61.3 grade; 32nd) to a left hand injury in the second half, still managed to break away from the Bengals and win 34-12. Quarterback Mason Rudolph stepped in the second half, completing 12-of-16 passes for 127 yards and a touchdown on a 59.8 grade in the win. The defense hasn’t been at its best in recent weeks and gave up over 100 rushing yards in the win. But with the Ravens and Bengals breathing down their neck, the Steelers needed a win. They got it.
20. Dallas Cowboys (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 6%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Cowboys looked like a new beast against the Raiders. The offense retained its explosiveness, with Dak Prescott completing 25-of-33 passes for 268 yards and four touchdowns on a 68.4 grade. But it was the defense, with new faces Quinnen Williams (83.8 grade; 3rd) and Logan Wilson (55.8 grade; 58th), that got the boost. The Cowboys held the Raiders to just 16 points and 27 total rushing yards. This defensive performance is what the Cowboys have been searching for. The Dallas offense has carried one of the league’s worst defenses all season, but the unit held up its end of the bargain against the Raiders. The question now is, is it all too late?
21. Miami Dolphins (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 1%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Don’t look now, but the once down-and-out Miami Dolphins have won three of their last four games and are now 4-7 heading into a Week 12 bye. Madrid provided the setting for an ugly 16-13 win, but it won’t matter to a Dolphins team on the brink of a resurgence in the second half of the season. The improvement of the defense in recent weeks has been a catalyst — Miami ranks 20th in EPA per play allowed since Week 8. The Dolphins now have a 1% chance of making the playoffs; slim, but anything can happen in football.
22. Arizona Cardinals (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Even though the Cardinals were comfortably swept aside 41-22 by the 49ers, plaudits will go to Jacoby Brissett (71.4 grade; 19th) on a record-setting day. Brissett completed 47 passes, an NFL record, for 452 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions, compiling a 78.7 grade in the loss. With less than half the season remaining and Kyler Murray (72.1 grade; 16th) on injured reserve, Brissett could be auditioning for the starting job full-time in Arizona. Although the Cardinals didn’t get the win, they’re 22nd in offensive EPA in the five games Brissett has started at quarterback.
23. Carolina Panthers (Up 4)
Chance of making playoffs: 24%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Panthers have been the comeback kings of the NFL, and were at it once again in Week 11. In the last few weeks, there’s been some real concern over the play of Bryce Young (65.6 grade, 27th). While one showing won’t end the doubts, he did deliver a huge career-best performance against the Falcons, completing 31-of-45 pass attempts for 448 yards and three touchdowns, generating an 87.2 grade in the 30-27 win. The playoffs are still an outside bet for the Panthers — they have just a 24% chance of making the postseason — but they’re just half a game back of the Buccaneers with three divisional matchups to play, two of which are against Tampa Bay.
24. Atlanta Falcons (Down 3)
Chance of making playoffs: 1%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Falcons led 21-7 with 1:42 remaining in the first half against the Panthers and looked in cruise control, finally looking to end their four-game winning streak. However, a knee injury knocked Michael Penix Jr. (59.3 grade; 34th) out of the game, and backup Kirk Cousins couldn’t help close the game out — he completed 6-of-14 pass attempts for 48 yards as the Panthers clawed their way back to win 30-27 in overtime. Now, the Falcons have lost five contests in a row and fall to 3-7. Atlanta continues to boggle the mind.
25. Washington Commanders (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Commanders have lost six straight games after the 16-13 defeat to the Dolphins in Madrid, and things just keep getting worse in Washington. This team feels far removed from where it was this time last year. Naturally, losing quarterback Jayden Daniels (76.7 grade; 12th) and receiver Terry McLaurin (77.3 grade; 19th) for extended periods of time have hampered the offense, but the defense — which ranks 30th in EPA per play allowed — has fallen off a cliff, too.
26. Cincinnati Bengals (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 2%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Bengals are still on the playoff bubble, even after their 34-12 loss to the Steelers in Week 11, but their playoff odds are now just 2%. The margin for error, even before the supposed return of Joe Burrow in Week 13, is microscopic. The Cincinnati offense couldn’t get going through the air, and receiver Ja’Marr Chase (84.7 grade; 6th) was held to just three catches for 30 yards on 10 targets. Next up for the Bengals: A date with the 9-2 New England Patriots.
27. Las Vegas Raiders (Down 3)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Things aren’t clicking for Pete Carroll’s Raiders, especially on offense. The blocking from the offensive line (56.5 pass blocking grade; 25th, 54.8 run blocking grade; 26th) has set the offense back. Quarterback Geno Smith (63.4 grade; 29th) was pressured on 40.8% of his dropbacks against the Cowboys and was sacked four times. Smith’s overall play has been disappointing, and he’s flatlined when pressured, throwing a league-leading six interceptions with a 42.4 grade. The Raiders were dominated by the Cowboys on Monday night and fell to 2-8 on the season. It’s hard to see where this team goes next.
28. New York Giants (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Jameis Winston-led New York Giants gave the Packers everything they had, rushing for 142 yards on the ground and never letting Green Bay out of their sight. But it wasn’t enough, with the Packers snagging a 27-20 win. It’s hard to get a real read on who the Mike Kafka Giants will be until Jaxson Dart (71.5 grade; 19th) is back in the lineup, but the signs from Sunday are at least promising. That’s especially when you have a defense that pressured Packers quarterback Jordan Love on 42.9% of his dropbacks.
29. Cleveland Browns (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Once again, the Cleveland Browns’ defense was able to show its chops, holding the Ravens’ offense to 23 points and sacking Lamar Jackson five times. With quarterback Dillon Gabriel (49.0 grade; 39th) knocked out of the game, we finally got to see Shedeur Sanders in action for the first time this season. The crowd was on his side, but Sanders struggled, completing 4-of-16 pass attempts for 47 yards and an interception. Sanders might get more of a chance over the next few weeks, but all eyes should be on the 2026 NFL Draft.
30. New York Jets (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
A quick two-game win streak came to an end for the plucky Jets on Thursday night, as they came plummeting back to Earth in a 27-14 loss to the Patriots. The offense has just been downright unwatchable at times, averaging just 3.9 yards per pass attempt vs. the Patriots with Justin Fields (67.3 grade; 26th) under center. The Jets’ vision now should be that of a classic rebuilding team: Evaluate the young talent you have on the team, and start planning for the 2026 NFL Draft. That also means determining whether that involves targeting a quarterback.
31. New Orleans Saints (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
With the Saints likely using the rest of the season to evaluate 2025 second-round quarterback Tyler Shough (74.7 grade), the signs have so far been promising. Whether that means they’ll stick with the former Louisville prospect long term is up for debate, and there’s a lot of the season left to be played. But the Saints’ Week 11 bye was likely used to get Shough even more acclimated to the offense — maybe even sprinkling in a few more plays to utilize his skillset. That means we could see even more of Chris Olave (71.7 grade; 38th), who has the fifth-most catches (60) in the NFL through 11 weeks.
32. Tennessee Titans (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Titans remain on track for the No. 1 pick in back-to-back seasons after a 16-13 loss to the Houston Texans on Sunday. The offense has struggled for most of the season, and quarterback Cam Ward (54.9 grade; 35th) was pressured on 34.9% of his dropbacks against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The defense — opposing an equally inconsistent offense — played as well as it has all season, running the Texans close but to no avail.
