USC Trojans vs. Arizona State Sun Devils odds, picks and predictions

The USC Trojans (6-0) and Arizona State Sun Devils (6-1) meet Wednesday in the Maui Invitational Championship Game. Tip-off at the Lahaina Center is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the USC vs. Arizona State odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
USC leads the all-time series 63-44, and it won the most recent meeting March 7, 2024, in Los Angeles when both were still members of the Pac-12 conference. Arizona State is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 meetings, with the Over going 3-0 in the past three outings.
The Trojans have won 6 games this season, going for 83 or more points in 5 of the games. While it has played its way to the title game with wins over the Boise State Broncs (70-67 as a 4.5-point favorite Monday), as F Ezra Ausar scored 25 points with 8 rebounds, and over the Seton Hall Pirates (83-81 as a 6-point favorite Tuesday). The Over and Under has alternated in each of the past 6 games.
The Sun Devils topped the Washington State Cougars 100-94 as a 5.5-point favorite Tuesday as the Over (157) cashed, as G Maurice Odum went for 26 points with 5 made 3-pointers. ASU also stunned the Texas Longhorns in the first game in Maui, 87-86 on Monday as 7-point underdogs as the Over (153) also hit.
Neither of these teams are ranked, but it’s highly likely that will change with a win in the title game.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
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USC vs. Arizona State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): USC -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Arizona State +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Against the spread (ATS): USC -5.5 (-110) | Arizona State +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
USC vs. Arizona State picks and predictions
Prediction
USC 84, Arizona State 82
USC (-235) will cost you nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s rather expensive. If you were to use a boost or promo, then it would be OK to play the Trojans straight up. If you tossed the Trojans into a multi-leg parlay, that would be perfectly OK, too. Just proceed with caution.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
ARIZONA STATE +5.5 (-110) is worth a look catching a couple of buckets, but proceed with caution. USC has won all 6 games to date, but it has failed to cover the past 3 games, including the past 2 in the islands.
ASU has acclimated nicely to the islands, winning and covered all 3 games, including a tune-up Friday at the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 83-76 as 2-point underdogs.
OVER 164.5 (-110) is a strong play in this Pac-12 reunion and Maui Championship title game.
The Under was a perfect (4-0) for Arizona State on the mainland, but the sea air has spurred on the offense, and a lack of defense, as the Over is 3-0 in the past 3 games.
Be careful, as the Over and Under has alternated in all 6 games to date, last hitting high against Seton Hall.
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