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Michigan football 2025 bowl projections: Where are Wolverines headed?

Michigan football downed by OSU: Tony Garcia and Shawn Windsor analyze

Michigan football downed by OSU: Tony Garcia and Shawn Windsor analyze at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor on Saturday, Nov. 29.

We will find out which teams will be participating in the College Football Playoff on Sunday, Dec. 7. And unless some shenanigans in the playoff committee take place, Michigan football will not be one of the 12 participants.

But the Wolverines will still play in a bowl fans can look forward to.

With a 9-3 regular-season record in 2025, the Wolverines handily qualified for the postseason and should be one of the most sought-after non-CPF bowl participants. The Big Ten conference is affiliated with eight different bowl games in seven different states, meaning there are many ways Michigan fans can start thinking about their bowl-season vacations.

Though we don’t know yet which bowl game the Wolverines will end up in, some eliminations and educated guesses are possible and, well, they all kinda point to the same spot.

Here is an overview of Michigan’s potential bowl situation.

Michigan football bowl game projections

To paraphrase an old Steve Spurrier diss, you can’t spell Citrus without “U-T” (well, unless you’re CBS Sports). While the Ol’ Ball Coach was joking about Tennessee, it looks like the other U-M – Texas – will be the Wolverines’ bowl foe at the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida, on Dec. 31.

Anyway, here are the major predictions:

ESPN (Kyle Bonagura, Mark Schlabach): Citrus Bowl (Dec. 31, Orlando, Florida) vs. Texas (9-3).

CBS Sports: Citrus Bowl vs. Vanderbilt (10-2).

Sports Illustrated: Citrus Bowl vs. Texas.

Athlon Sports (Steven Lassan): Citrus Bowl vs. Texas.

The Athletic: Citrus Bowl vs. Texas.

Sporting News: Citrus Bowl vs. Texas.

The good news? Michigan fans and Texas fans have a common enemy, as Longhorns coach Steve Sarkisian has spent the past couple weeks complaining to anyone and everyone that his team is being penalized in CFP rankings for playing – and losing to – Ohio State in the season opener. (Nobody tell Sark that the loss to 4-8 Florida midway through the season probably did the most damage.)

Added bonus: Texas’ Arch Manning can chat with U-M’s Bryce Underwood about the pressures of being the chosen QB recruit.

Of course, there are other options, we suppose …

Michigan bowl game possibilities

The Big Ten currently has affiliations with the following eight bowls:

  • GameAbove Sports Bowl, Detroit (Dec. 26).
  • Rate Bowl, Phoenix (Dec. 26).
  • Pinstripe Bowl, New York (Dec. 27).
  • Music City Bowl, Nashville (Dec. 30).
  • ReliaQuest Bowl, Tampa (Dec. 31).
  • Citrus Bowl, Orlando (Dec. 31).
  • Las Vegas Bowl, Las Vegas (Dec. 31).
  • Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California (Jan. 1).

While the Rose Bowl is not officially affiliated with the Big Ten, it is very likely that the winner of the Big Ten championship game between Ohio State and Indiana will get the No. 1 overall seed, earn a first-round bye and be automatically placed in the Rose Bowl. As such, we can eliminate Michigan from that possibility.

Each of these bowl games also have affiliations with other conferences, which can help us narrow down the likely bowl options for the Wolverines. The GameAbove Sports Bowl in Detroit, for example, will feature a matchup between a Big Ten and a MAC team – which means a high-profile Big Ten team like Michigan or USC would likely be saved for a bowl with a more attractive conference pairing (sorry, Minnesota and Northwestern).

That might also eliminate the Rate Bowl in Phoenix and the Pinstripe Bowl in New York, as the former would feature a Big 12 opponent and the latter an ACC opponent. And seeing as how the most interesting teams from those conferences are likely making the College Football Playoff, anyway (unless Miami doesn’t make the playoff), Big Ten teams like Michigan or USC would, again, likely be saved for one of four more attractive pairings.

Three bowl games will feature matchups between an SEC and Big Ten team: the Music City Bowl in Nashville, the ReliaQuest Bowl in Tampa and the Citrus Bowl in Orlando. Michigan played in the ReliaQuest Bowl in 2024, beating Alabama 19-13 in one of the most memorable bowl games of the 2024 season. Michigan also played in the Citrus Bowl twice under former coach Jim Harbaugh (2015 and 2019) and in Tampa for the Outback Bowl in 2017.

Taking all of that into account, it would make a lot of sense for Michigan to be matched up with an SEC team (maybe Texas?) in one of the two Big Ten-affiliated Florida bowl games. But there’s another interesting potential matchup on the horizon.

The Las Vegas Bowl on Dec. 31 features a Big Ten team and a team that is currently in or recently affiliated with the Pac 12. The likelihood of a rematch against a team like Washington or USC seems pretty slim, but a potential matchup with a 9-3 Arizona or 8-4 Arizona State team might give some old-school Rose Bowl vibes in the desert (even if those team have only combined for two Rose Bowl appearances).

No matter how it shakes out, however, Michigan fans willing to travel can likely look forward to a warm-weather locale – especially since that bowl game in Detroit is probably off the table.

Michigan football 2025 schedule

  • Week 1: W, 34-17 vs New Mexico.
  • Week 2: L, 24-13 at Oklahoma.
  • Week 3: W, 63-3 vs Central Michigan.
  • Week 4: W, 30-27 at Nebraska.
  • Week 5: BYE.
  • Week 6: W, 24-10 vs Wisconsin.
  • Week 7: L, 31-13 vs USC.
  • Week 8: W, 24-7 vs Washington.
  • Week 9: W, 31-20 at Michigan State.
  • Week 10: W, 21-16 vs Purdue.
  • Week 11: BYE.
  • Week 12: W, 24-22 at Northwestern.
  • Week 13: W, 45-20 at Maryland.
  • Week 14: L, 27-9 vs Ohio State.
  • Bowl game: TBD.

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You can reach Christian at [email protected].

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