- The Packers are on a heater: Green Bay has won four games in a row after defeating the Bears in Week 14.
- The Jaguars take control of the AFC South: The Jaguars were dominant in their 36-19 win against the Colts, and now have full reign in the AFC South.
- Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.
Estimated Reading Time: 26 minutes
The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team’s market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.
Click here to jump to a team:
ARZ | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN | CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WAS
1. Los Angeles Rams (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 97%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 14%
For those wondering how the Rams would bounce back from the Week 13 upset loss to the Panthers, here’s your answer. The Rams were utterly dominant from start to finish against the Cardinals in Week 14, running away with a 45-17 win.
Three major offensive performances stood out, with Matt Stafford (93.6 grade; 1st), Puka Nacua (94.6 grade; 1st), and Blake Corum (77.4 grade; 14th) stepping up to the plate. Stafford threw three touchdowns and earned a 93.9 overall PFF grade, while Corum and Nacua combined for four total scores. Nacua was dominant again and averaged a mind-bending 7.59 yards per route run. The Rams get back to business and reclaim the top seed in the NFC.
2. Green Bay Packers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 94%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 12%
The top-of-the-NFC-North clash came down to the wire, and as it often has in 2025, the Packers’ defense — which ranks 13th in EPA per play — stepped up to intercept Bears quarterbacks Caleb Williams in the end zone, with Keisean Nixon (69.4 grade; 26th) making the big play. Aside from an errant interception, Packers gunslinger Jordan Love (89.9 grade; 2nd) played a great game, completing 17-of-25 pass attempts for 234 yards and three touchdowns on a 90.4 overall PFF grade.
Love and the Packers move into the top spot in the NFC North after the clutch win, and they’ve now won four matchups in a row.
3. Seattle Seahawks (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 97%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
A slow start from the Seahawks’ offense against the Falcons in Week 14 was comfortably navigated by the defense — which ranks second in EPA per play — and one of the better special teams units in the NFL. Seattle’s ability to hold down the fort, turn the ball over and kickstart things with a Rashid Shaheed (66.6 grade; 60th) kickoff return for a touchdown to open the second half lifted the offense into life.
From there, it was business as usual. Sam Darnold (83.4 grade; 6th) connected with Jaxon Smith-Njigba (93.3 grade; 2nd) seven times for 92 yards and a touchdown, and the Seahawks ran away 37-9 winners. Mike Macdonald’s bunch moved to 10-3 on the season and kept pace at the top of the NFC West.
4. Buffalo Bills (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 98%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
The Bills rallied from a 28-18 deficit midway through the fourth quarter to score 21 points and defeat the Cincinnati Bengals, thanks to a superhuman Josh Allen (85.8 grade; 5th) performance in Week 14. Allen completed 22-of-28 passes for 251 yards and three touchdowns, adding nine carries for 78 yards and a touchdown — which resulted in a 90.4 overall PFF grade.
Buffalo needed its offense to spring to life in the fourth quarter — the defense struggled to contain the Bengals in the western New York snow, allowing six yards per play. However, corner Christian Benford (66.2 grade; 40th) scored a pick-six as the Bills picked off Joe Burrow on back-to-back plays. The Bills weren’t at their best, but they made the big plays at the right times.
5. Detroit Lions (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 53%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
The Lions’ offense kicked into gear against the Cowboys in Week 14, rattling off five touchdowns in a 44-30 win while averaging 0.211 EPA per play. It was the Jahmyr Gibbs (90.6 grade; 1st) show again, as the electric running back scored three touchdowns on the ground and caught seven passes for 77 yards.
The Lions, who moved to 8-5 on the season, couldn’t afford any slip-ups in a tight playoff race in the NFC — but the win didn’t come without concerns. Safety Brian Branch (77.5 grade; 9th) suffered a torn Achilles and is out for the rest of the 2025 season. Injury luck just hasn’t been on the Lions’ side in 2025.
6. Houston Texans (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 93%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
The Texans have been on a hot streak recently, winning five games in a row and delivering three straight statement wins against the Bills, Colts and Chiefs. The Houston defense held one of the best offenses around to just 10 points in a 20-10 win, and C.J. Stroud (67.9 grade; 27th) made some excellent plays to lead the offense on two touchdown drives.
The Texans were 3-5 five weeks ago. Now, they’re 8-5 and have a 93% chance of making the playoffs. Things can change fast in the NFL, especially when you have the best defense in EPA per play.
7. Kansas City Chiefs (Down 4)
Chance of making playoffs: 13%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The Chiefs have made a habit of coming up big in the high-leverage spots during the Patrick Mahomes years. But whether it’s poor execution, a wrong bounce or big mistakes from key players, they’ve failed in those moments in 2025. A 20-10 Week 14 loss to the Texans all but seals the Chiefs’ fate, as it will likely be the first time they’ll miss the playoffs since 2014.
Mathematically, Kansas City is still alive. Although Patrick Mahomes (76.1 grade; 10th) threw three interceptions and struggled against the Texans, he can still carry a team through adversity. However, no amount of a one-man show can pull the Chiefs back from the brink. Their season is in the mud.
8. Denver Broncos (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: >99.9%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 13%
It’s now 10 wins in a row for the Broncos after their close 24-17 triumph over the Raiders in Week 14. A punt return touchdown from Marvin Mims Jr. (64.3 grade; 70th) set the Broncos on their way, and rookie RJ Harvey (72.4 grade; 23rd) continues to impress, generating an 86.5 overall PFF grade while scoring a touchdown and racking up 100 yards from scrimmage.
The Broncos’ offense still has its bugs, but the defense — which ranks fifth in EPA per play — continues to play at an elite level. The Broncos face the Packers in Week 15, and that could be a huge barometer for their legitimacy as contenders.
9. Baltimore Ravens (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 31%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Ravens had the perfect opportunity to open up a lead in the AFC North with a win over the Steelers in Week 14. The Steelers had been off the ball, losing five of their last seven games heading into the clash. Although the Ravens hadn’t been playing at their best, they were overwhelming favorites.
Instead, they dropped the ball. Lamar Jackson (65.8 grade; 29th) arguably played his best game since returning from injury, posting a 76.3 overall PFF grade and scoring two touchdowns. But the Ravens came unstuck, allowing Aaron Rodgers to dice them up through the air in a 27-19 loss. Their playoff odds drop to 31%.
10. San Francisco 49ers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 92%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
A late bye week didn’t change the picture too much for the 49ers in Week 14. They will still comfortably make the playoffs, with current odds of 92%, and sit in the No. 6 seed with a 9-4 record. Since Brock Purdy (68.7 grade; 25th) returned to the lineup, San Francisco’s offense is 17th in success rate, and Purdy still hasn’t been playing his best ball as he inches closer to full health.
There are also concerns about the strength of the defense, which ranks 24th in EPA per play. However, head coach Kyle Shanahan has delivered a masterclass in coaching in 2025. The 49ers always have a chance when he’s calling the plays.
11. Philadelphia Eagles (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 90%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
Heading into Week 14, Jalen Hurts (77.7 grade; 8th) had thrown just two interceptions on the season. But the Eagles signal-caller struggled against the Chargers defense in the 22-19 loss, throwing four interceptions while losing a fumble. Aside from the turnovers, which is a big aside, the offense also languished with a 32.4% success rate.
The Eagles have now lost three straight games. They’re still nearly a lock to make the playoffs with 90% odds, but all is not well in Philadelphia.
12. Los Angeles Chargers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 71%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
The Chargers limped their way to a 22-19 win against the Eagles in Week 14, but the victory is a big one nonetheless. Justin Herbert (80.9 grade; 7th) looked hampered by his injury in the win, completing 12-of-26 pass attempts for 139 yards, a touchdown and an interception, compiling a 45.4 overall PFF grade. The star was pressured on 63.4% of his dropbacks and sacked seven times.
The Chargers have found the ability to grind out wins against the odds, something that’s evaded them in recent seasons. However, they’ve got to find ways to protect their franchise quarterback — Herbert has been sacked 45 times this season, third-most in the NFL.
13. New England Patriots (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: >99.9%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
The Patriots were in the last group of teams to go on their bye in Week 14, and there will be hope within the fanbase that it doesn’t slow their momentum. With the playoffs all but confirmed, the goal now for the Patriots is to lock up the AFC East while continuing to gun for the top seed in the conference.
That ambition starts with a tough game against the Bills in Week 15, and a win would seriously help strengthen Drake Maye’s (87.1 grade; 4th) MVP case late in the season. Maye leads the NFL in completion percentage (71.5%) and has the fourth-most completions (25) of 20 yards or more. He’s been sensational in his second year in the NFL.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 98%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
What an emphatic performance from the Jaguars in Week 14 with the chips down. The Jaguars headed into a frontline clash with the Colts knowing a win would extend their lead in the division and all but assure they’ll be playing January football. They accepted the challenge with aplomb.
Trevor Lawrence (75.1 grade; 11th) was excellent, putting forth one of the best showings of his career. The former No. 1 overall pick completed 17-of-30 pass attempts for 244 yards and two touchdowns with four big-time throws, compiling a 90.2 overall PFF grade — his highest since Week 14 of the 2022 season.
The Jaguars are now 9-4 with a 98% chance of making the playoffs. Their path — whether as a division winner or a wild-card — is less certain, but Jacksonville has the advantage down the stretch.
15. Chicago Bears (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 64%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Bears ran the Packers close in a divisional battle in Week 14, but ultimately saw their five-game win streak come to a screeching halt. Despite the 28-21 loss, the Bears proved that they can hang with the top dogs in the NFL with a strong comeback in the second half.
Caleb Williams (72.1 grade; 16th) still has a penchant for escaping out of the pocket too early, but the second-year quarterback has impressed in Ben Johnson’s offense. Things are looking up in Chicago, even if the defeat to the Packers feels like a short-term setback.
16. Pittsburgh Steelers (Up 4)
Chance of making playoffs: 66%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Steelers took control of the AFC North in Week 14 with a 27-19 road win over the Ravens, courtesy of a vintage performance from Aaron Rodgers (64.1 grade; 31st). Rodgers rolled back the clock with his first rushing touchdown since 2022, but also completed 23-of-34 pass attempts for 284 yards, a touchdown, five big-time throws and an 88.0 overall PFF grade.
The win pushes the Steelers back into the top spot in the North and lifts their playoff odds to 66%. For a team that felt like it was in a mini-freefall with the Ravens on the prowl, the group responded incredibly well in its biggest game of the season to date. A Week 18 rematch with Baltimore likely decides the division.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 4%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
A Week 14 game on the road against the Bills, in the snow no less, would have been a huge coup for a desperate Bengals team clawing to life in the playoff race. The offense delivered the goods in the snow, with Joe Burrow (87.0 grade) throwing for 284 yards and four touchdowns with five big-time throws en route to an 83.1 overall PFF grade. But the Cincinnati defense, which has often been the limiter of their success in 2025, struggled to contain Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense.
The Bengals led 28-18 with just over 8 minutes to go, but proceeded to allow the Bills to go on a 21-0 run before a late Tee Higgins (77.0 grade; 22nd) touchdown made things a little interesting. It’s not hard to see why the Bengals are in the position they’re in.
18. Dallas Cowboys (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 13%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
A 44-30 loss to the Lions in Week 14 all but seals the Cowboys’ fate in 2025. Had this team found its groove earlier, there’s every chance it would be in the inner circle of the NFC right now. Yet a 6-6-1 record might be too tough to battle back from — especially if CeeDee Lamb (78.2 grade; 18th) misses some time with a concussion.
The Cowboys are in great stead for 2026 if they can stay healthy, and sometimes the long-term picture is the only solace. Still, Dallas has turned the ship around in 2025 — it’s just come too late in the day.
19. Minnesota Vikings (Up 3)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The road has been rocky and then some for the Vikings in recent weeks, but there was finally something to cheer about in the 31-0 blowout win against the Commanders in Week 14. Just a week prior, the Vikings were getting dominated by the Seahawks. How quickly the tables can turn.
Quarterback J.J. McCarthy (57.5 grade; 37th) played his best game for the Vikings in the win, completing 16-of-23 pass attempts for 163 yards and three touchdowns, notching a 78.4 overall PFF grade. Hopefully, the young quarterback has ground to build on now.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 69%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
A gut-punch loss to the Saints in Week 14 creates an issue for the Buccaneers in the NFC South. First, the Buccaneers aren’t playing well. They haven’t been for close to two months, and are 26th in EPA per play on offense. The struggles for the injury-hit team are real.
The shock defeat to the Saints opens the door for the Panthers, too. The Buccaneers still have a 69% chance of winning the division, but they play the Panthers twice in the next month. Those games will decide the fate of the South, and with the way the Buccaneers are performing right now, anything can happen.
21. Miami Dolphins (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Dolphins have won four games in a row after their breezy 34-10 win against the Jets in Week 14, but their playoff odds are still around 1%. The margin for error for a Dolphins postseason push is slim, and the list of caveats that has to go their way is endless. So far, that hasn’t happened.
As the Dolphins continue to win, they push themselves further away from a top-10 pick and closer to mediocrity. However, you can’t discount the effort of this team.
22. Indianapolis Colts (Down 6)
Chance of making playoffs: 26%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
Unfortunately, the Week 14 loss to the Jaguars — combined with a season-ending torn Achilles for Daniel Jones (71.7 grade; 18th) — likely spells the end of the road for the Colts in 2025. The Colts had dipped in recent weeks, in part because of a separate Jones injury, but were still on track for the postseason. However, even before Jones exited the game early, the Colts felt outmatched.
The long-term picture for Indianapolis is suddenly a lot murkier. The team may be without Jones until a few weeks into the 2026 season, and the Colts are without a first-round pick until 2028 after trading for Sauce Gardner (75.1 grade; 12th). Their pathway to a quarterback in the future becomes more difficult, but in the short term, there’s a non-zero percent chance we see Philip Rivers under center in Indianapolis.
23. Washington Commanders (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
A bad season just continues to implode for the Washington Commanders. A 31-0 blowout loss to the Vikings in Week 14 compounded the misery of a gone season, but another potential injury to Jayden Daniels (74.9 grade; 12th) was a reminder that when it rains, it pours. The decision to play Daniels, when the Commanders were 3-9, might confuse some, and now his status for Week 15 is up in the air. It’s hard to point out the positives for the Commanders — this was a mess from start to finish.
24. Atlanta Falcons (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The 37-9 Week 14 loss to the Seahawks confirmed that the Falcons were guaranteed eight losing seasons in a row. Things should have been different, but inconsistency and regression got in the way, pulling the Falcons back into the mud.
What happens now? Does Raheem Morris keep his job? Do the Falcons stick with Michael Penix Jr (59.3; 36th), who could be out for most of 2026?
There are more questions than answers for the Falcons heading into the offseason, but at least they know their young edge duo, James Pearce Jr. (57.2 grade; 90th) and Jalon Walker (73.9 grade; 30th) are for real. They’ve combined for 54 pressures and 12 sacks in their rookie seasons.
25. Carolina Panthers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 32%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
Though the Panthers were on a bye in Week 14, they head into Week 15 as one of the big winners thanks to the Buccaneers falling to the Saints and opening the door. The Panthers are 7-6 and tied with the Buccaneers at the top of the NFC South, and the two face off twice in the next four weeks.
Quarterback Bryce Young (64.7 grade; 30th) has been playing excellent football over the last month: His 74.1 overall PFF grade since Week 10 is 10th among quarterbacks, and his 5.2% big-time throw rate is ninth. If Young can keep playing stellar ball, the Panthers might sneak into the playoffs as division winners — something they haven’t done since 2015.
26. Arizona Cardinals (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The hot news of the week in Arizona thankfully didn’t stem from what happened on the field during a 45-17 loss to the Rams — a game that reinforced the fact there is a lot of work left to be done in the desert. The Cardinals announced that Kyler Murray (72.1 grade; 16th) wouldn’t play again this season after suffering a foot sprain in Week 5 against the Titans.
Naturally, questions about Murray’s long-term future will persist for the rest of the season. While the Cardinals are 3-10 and struggling to play good football, there’s every chance that that storyline dominates the airwaves.
27. New York Giants (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The big storyline for the Giants heading out of their Week 14 bye is the results around them. After the Saints and Titans both picked up wins, the Giants now have control of the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. That will feel positive for a team that hopefully already has its franchise quarterback in the building in Jaxson Dart (70.9 grade; 20th).
If the Giants — who have lost seven games in a row but have shown a little fight under interim head coach Mike Kafka — keep on their current pace, they could have a big decision to make come draft season.
28. Cleveland Browns (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
There’s a lot to unpack with the happenings in Cleveland right now. The Browns fell 31-29 to the Titans in Week 14, but Shedeur Sanders (54.0 grade) played the best game of his short career, completing 22-of-41 passes for 358 yards, three touchdowns and an interception, earning a 76.2 overall PFF grade.
The fifth-round selection was better under pressure, compiling a 72.4 grade, but baby steps still need to be taken when assessing Sanders. If the Browns are in range to take a quarterback in the draft, they shouldn’t hesitate.
29. Las Vegas Raiders (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The Raiders lost Geno Smith (61.2 grade; 34th) to a shoulder injury against the Broncos in their 24-17 loss. Backup Kenny Pickett stepped in to lead a touchdown drive against a good Broncos defense, completing 9-of-11 pass attempts for 97 yards and a touchdown, good for an 86.0 overall PFF grade. Smith will likely return in time for Week 15, but with little to play for in 2025, there’s got to be some notion of wanting to see if Pickett can carry on his fourth-quarter performance.
Even if it feels like he’s regressed in 2025, Smith is the better quarterback. Still, it might not hurt shutting down the Raiders’ veteran starter for the rest of the season if there is some lingering doubt with his shoulder injury.
30. New Orleans Saints (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The Saints caused the shock of Week 14, beating the Buccaneers 24-20 thanks to a late touchdown run from Tyler Shough (73.7 grade; 14th). Shough has quietly been playing competent football over the last few weeks and recorded an 83.7 overall PFF grade against the Buccaneers — his highest in 2025.
The win means the Saints currently have possession of the No. 5 pick, which likely pushes them out of range for a top quarterback in the draft. However, there’s still a lot of football left to be played. At the same time, with the way Shough has been playing, the Saints might seriously be thinking about giving him the job in 2026.
31. New York Jets (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
Like the Raiders, the Jets also lost their veteran starter to an injury in Week 14. Tyrod Taylor (60.2 grade; 35th) was knocked out after just four dropbacks, with rookie undrafted free agent Brady Cook stepping in. Naturally, Cook struggled in his first NFL action, throwing two interceptions and posting a 31.1 overall PFF grade.
The Jets have won three of their last six games, but equally must be begging for the end of the season. Head coach Aaron Glenn’s first year in charge hasn’t quite gone to plan, though he should be given ample time to turn it around.
32. Tennessee Titans (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 0%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 0%
The Titans picked up their second win of the season in Week 14, defeating the Browns 31-29 thanks to a late defensive stand on a two-point conversion. Cam Ward (56.0 grade; 38th) wasn’t at his best in the win, but the Titans ripped apart a great Browns defense on the ground. Tony Pollard (62.7 grade; 54th) carried the ball 25 times for 161 yards and two touchdowns, putting together an 82.9 overall PFF grade in the process.
The win pushes the Titans out of the No. 1 pick, but it will do wonders for morale.
