The Miami Heat (14-12) and Brooklyn Nets (7-18) meet Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Nets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Heat won 2-1
The Heat lost to the Toronto Raptors 106-96 Monday, failing to cover as a 5-point home favorite with the Under (233) cashing. C Bam Adebayo posted a double-double with 20 points and 10 rebounds. Miami has lost 5 straight, going just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in that span to drop its season ATS record to 14-12.
The Nets beat the Milwaukee Bucks 127-82 Sunday, covering with ease as a 1-point home underdog. The Under (216) hit as 9 Brooklyn players scored in double figures led by G Egor Demin‘s 17 points. Brooklyn has traded off winning and losing over its last 5 games, going 3-2 ATS. It is 11-14 ATS on the season.
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Heat at Nets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:08 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nets +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -6.5 (-105) | Nets +6.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Nets key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (toe) out
- F Pelle Larsson (ankle) out
- G Norman Powell (calf) questionable
Nets
- G Cam Thomas (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Nets picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 113, Nets 111
PASS.
While the Nets (+200) have performed better as of late and will be at home Thursday, they aren’t worth playing to win outright as a significant underdog.
BET NETS +6.5 (-115).
The Nets have found some rhythm, especially at home. They have won 3 straight home games. As an underdog, they’ve also impressed, covering in 3 of their last 5 games in that position.
In December, the Heat have played 3 road games and went 0-3 straight up and 1-2 ATS in those. They have scored 111 or fewer points in 5 straight games, so they may struggle to separate by this margin.
Take NETS +6.5 (-115).
BET UNDER 228.5 (-110).
The Nets have gone Under in 10 of their last 12 games, allowing 103 or fewer points in 4 of their last 6. Similarly, the Heat have gone Under in 5 straight. While the Heat play at the fastest pace in the NBA, the Nets rank 27th and should look to slow things down.
Considering those trends, take UNDER 228.5 (-110).
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