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Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns Game Predictions

What we’re hearing on the Bills: QB Josh Allen, the reigning MVP, has firmly planted himself back in the awards conversation, but his focus is elsewhere. “I’m just trying to do my job, just trying to find a way to get in the playoffs here,” Allen said. The 29-year-old has a chance to make history Sunday. With just one more touchdown, Allen will become the youngest and fastest NFL player to reach 300 scores. — Alaina Getzenberg

What we’re hearing on the Browns: DE Myles Garrett is one sack away from tying the NFL’s single-season sack record shared by Michael Strahan and T.J. Watt, and he’s 1.5 sacks away from breaking it. Surpassing 22.5 sacks through 15 games played would give Garrett the distinction of achieving the feat in fewer games than it took Strahan in 2001 (16) and in just as many as it took Watt in 2021. “That’s why I got to get back on the field,” said CB Denzel Ward, who missed last week’s game and is currently questionable because of a calf injury. “I told him don’t break the record without me out there. I got to be out there when he breaks the record. … I’m hoping he gets to [break the record] this week and like I said, it’s not a matter if, but when he gets that record. And just the credit to him and the work that he’s put in and the entire defense. You can’t do it alone.” — Daniel Oyefusi

Stat to know: Allen has had three passing touchdowns and no interceptions in each of his past two games. No Bills quarterback has ever had three straight games with three passing touchdowns. — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: Garrett won’t record a sack against Allen. I think Garrett will have to wait another week to break the record. Bills left tackle Dion Dawkins currently ranks second in pass block win rate at 95.3%. — Walder

What’s at stake: The Bills can clinch a playoff berth this week with a win and either a Texans or Colts loss. See Playoff Machine. — ESPN Research

Fantasy nugget: The Browns’ Harold Fannin Jr. is currently the TE8 in ESPN leagues. He has been superb and has recorded at least 11 fantasy points in three consecutive games, including one with 25.4 points. Over that span, Fannin has stockpiled 30 total targets. The only TE with more targets than him this season is Trey McBride. The Bills’ defense has allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to the position, but don’t let that deter you from starting Fannin given his elite target volume. See Week 16 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Browns are 0-3 ATS in their past three games. Read more. — ESPN Research

Maldonado’s pick: Bills 34, Browns 10

Moody’s pick: Bills 24, Browns 13

Walder’s pick: Bills 31, Browns 10

FPI prediction: BUF, 80.4% (by an average of 12.8 points)

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