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Another test is on tap for Week 17 of the NFL season.
Another vast array of player props to jump into, with thousands of betting lines out there and money to be made.
Last week, we made some money, which was a pleasant result given the past few weeks where we’ve gone from highly profitable to teetering on the line of the negative.
If you wagered 0.6 units on the short side of the props, followed by 0.4 units on the long side, you’d have profited 3.17 units on the day.
We’re looking at some props with similar margins, with our season total results coming in at 3.37 units of profit for the season.
NFL Week 17 player props and predictions
Marvin Harrison Jr. over 38.5 receiving yards (-110, BetMGM) | over 89.5 (+950, Caesars Sportsbook)
What an amazing line on Caesars Sportsbook on this Marvin Harrison prop, by far the best on the market to get 90 yards or more.
Harrison has been injured for much of the season, but one would think that he doesn’t want this season to be entirely lost.
Harrison’s prop is listed at 38.5 receiving yards, a number he’s crossed in just three of his last five games and seven of 11 games overall.
Jacoby Brissett is starting under center for Arizona, which makes this number particularly bizarre despite pulling down one pass for 14 yards on three targets last week.
Harrison matches up with the Bengals’ defense, which you should know by now but deserves no introduction.
For all of his faults, of which there are many, Harrison has crossed 90 in two of his 11 games this season, giving him roughly +550 odds if you use his season-long average.
In a plus-matchup, Harrison is a smash spot this weekend, all things considered.
FanDuel has Harrison 90+ receiving yards at +660 at the time of writing, so this is a sizeable edge if you can get it.
Betting on the NFL?
Darren Waller over 24.5 receiving yards (-110, Fanatics Sportsbook) | to score a touchdown (+300, bet365) | 2+ touchdowns (40/1, bet365)
Another bad defense worth targeting. The Buccaneers’ defense is terrible, and they’re not any better against tight ends either.
Ranking No. 26 against tight ends, Tampa Bay gives up a touchdown to opposing tight ends in 66 percent of games, third worst in the NFL.
The only reason Waller’s total is so low is that he’s getting passes thrown to him by third-string rookie Quinn Ewers.
Miami’s Darren Waller and Greg Dulcich celebrating. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
But he crossed the line last week against the Bengals’ terrible defense and should be able to do so again this week.
Waller is also 40/1 to score two touchdowns on bet365, which he has done twice this year.
Target Waller to go over his total and don’t be afraid to bet on him to score a touchdown (+300) as well.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
