The ATP Hong Kong Open is back on the main Tour after a hiatus from 2003-2023. This is the third edition since the return and we are blessed with a jam-packed draw. As ever, we preview and predict the scheduled matches for you.
ATP Hong Kong Day 3 Predictions
Gabriel Diallo vs Coleman Wong
Head-to-head – First Meeting
Gabriel Diallo is seeded sixth this week, and he is one of the players to watch out for in 2026. The big-serving Canadian endured a good test in his first round and he now faces Coleman Wong. The crowd will no doubt be supporting Wong, but Diallo looks like a solid package on the hard courts, and I don’t think the home favorite will be able to break Diallo from the baseline.
Prediction: Diallo in 2
Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges
Head-to-head – Cilic 1-0 Borges
Marin Cilic is unseeded this week but the 37-year-old still has some tennis left in him. The Croatian won his first round here quite comfortably and he looked solid. He faces the eighth seed, Nuno Borges, who had an okay 2025 season. The Portuguese does play his best on the clay courts, and it seems like Cilic has more fire power from the baseline–especially when they are facing off on the hard courts.
Prediction: Cilic in 3
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musetti
Head-to-head – Etcheverry 0-2 Musetti
Tomas Martin Etcheverry hasn’t quite had the seasons he would have hoped for in the last couple of years, but 2026 has just started and the Argentine has the potential to turn it around. Unfortunately for Etcheverry, his next match is against Lorenzo Musetti, who is coming off of a fantastic 2025.
Expect Etcheverry to keep it competitive but Musetti has found a solid enough game style to justify him being the top seed this week. Musetti should be moving ahead.
Prediction: Musetti in 2
Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu
Head-to-head – First Meeting
Andrey Rublev enters 2026 on the back of a lacklustre 2025. He has dropped to 16th in the world and he badly needs to make a good start to 2026. He will need to be at his best this week as it is a very competitive draw. He begins his campaign against Yibing Wu who dominated his first round match but he will most likely be over powered by the quality of Rublev’s shot making.
Prediction: Rublev in 2
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
