The biggest winner on Golden Globes night? The good ol’ dubba-dubba-WB, of course. Warner Bros. hauled in a studio-leading six statuettes by sharing the wealth between its two big Oscar contenders — Paul Thomas Anderson‘s One Battle After Another and Ryan Coogler‘s Sinners. Rather than pit the auteur-driven movies against each other, the studio cannily dispatched One Battle to the Comedy/Musical categories while Sinners stayed put in Drama.
The gambit worked as Anderson’s won the evening overall with a total of four statuettes, while Coogler’s vampire yarn pitched in with another two wins. On the One Battle front, Teyana Taylor opened the ceremony with a Best Film Supporting Actress win — the only member of the cast to score a victory — followed by Anderson accepting honors for Best Screenplay, Best Director, and the whole crew taking the stage for Best Film Comedy/Musical.
Meanwhile, Sinners scored victories for Best Score and Best Cinematic and Box Office Achievement — but fell short in Best Film Drama where it was the odds-on favorite on Gold Derby’s leaderboard. (More on that upset in a minute.) Still, the Globes results keep the two movies enshrined as winners as the Oscar voting period opens and both stand poised to run up the WB’s total nomination count when the final crop of nominees are released on Jan. 22.
Here are some of the other Globes-derived narratives to keep an eye on as we move full steam ahead into Oscar season.
Nothing but (Ham)net
Chloé Zhao and Steven Spielberg at the Golden Globe AwardsNeilson Barnard/Getty Images
In the one big shocker of an otherwise snoozily predictable ceremony, Hamnet had the outrageous fortune of winning Best Film Drama — a statuette that initially seemed destined to end up in Sinners‘ hands. Of course, Chloé Zhao‘s Shakespearean drama hasn’t exactly been spending awards season hidden away in a nunnery. The Focus Features-released film has shown up alongside the WB’s powerhouse pair in almost every version of a pre-Oscar Best Picture category so far, including the Critics Choice Awards and the SAG Actor Awards. And, not for nothing, but Hamnet bested One Battle and Sinners the night before the Globes at the Movies for Grownups Awards, hosted by the AARP.
Even without a Globe, Zhao’s movie was always on track to be nominated for Best Picture on Jan. 22, with star Jessie Buckley — who won Best Film Drama Actress, as anticipated — also scoring a Best Actress nod. But this victory could lead to some movement in our odds should enough prognosticators now decide that Hamnet, and not Sinners, is the No. 2 to One Battle‘s clear No. 1.
One reason to maybe not rearrange your own picks just yet is that Coogler’s film is clearly a big hit with the many and varied guilds that comprise the Academy’s voting body. The film tied Wicked: For Good as the most-mentioned title on the initial wave of Oscar shortlists — where Sinners got eight mentions to Hamnet‘s three — and has also been recognized by SAG (where it once again led Hamnet in nominations by five to three), the DGA, and the PGA, as well as the costume designers and the set decorators. So the Sinners love is still strong… but it’s understandable if you were given pause by the Globes result.
Best Picture
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Not so secret
Wagner Moura in The Secret AgentNeon
The Secret Agent surge is no accident anymore. Neon entered the awards cycle with the Cannes-winning It Was Just an Accident poised to be its latest Cannes-to-Oscar success story on the heels of Parasite, Triangle of Sadness, Anatomy of a Fall, and Anora. And Jafar Panahi‘s film is still certain to be nominated for Best International Feature, along with a likely Best Director nod for the Iranian auteur. But the momentum is definitely with Neon’s other Cannes acquisition right now as The Secret Agent drove past It Was Just an Accident as the international feature winner at both the CCAs and the Globes. The film is currently in a three-way tie with Accident and Sentimental Value on our leaderboard, but a category shake-up may be brewing.
Meanwhile, Secret Agent star Wagner Moura made Globes history as the first Brazilian winner and had his most prominent stage yet after his non-televised acceptance speech at the New York Film Critics Circle ceremony. Despite being snubbed by SAG voters — he was one of the many international thespians who didn’t make the cut for the Actor Awards — the Narcos star is safely in the Top 5 on our Best Actor leaderboard as oddsmakers are betting that the Academy’s diverse membership will ensure that he follows in the footsteps of I’m Still Here‘s Fernanda Torres and still end up in Oscar contention. It’s a gamble that will likely pay off.
Best Actor
1.
Timothée Chalamet
Marty Supreme
2.
Leonardo DiCaprio
One Battle After Another
3.
Michael B. Jordan
Sinners
4.
Wagner Moura
The Secret Agent
5.
‘Battle’ scars
Teyana Taylor at the Golden GlobesAmy Sussman/Getty Images
One Battle‘s string of victories throughout awards season so far has benefitted the film (and Anderson), but not necessarily the cast. Leonardo DiCaprio is still seeking that increasingly elusive big Best Actor victory as Marty Supreme‘s Timothée Chalamet cements his hold over the awards season endgame with back-to-back CCA and Globe wins. If the 30-year-old actor wins the SAG statuette, you can consider it game over for his mentor. (To be fair, both DiCaprio and his onscreen daughter, Chase Infiniti, were named Best Actor and Best Breakthrough Performance by the National Board of Review, and will presumably be on hand to accept those honors in New York this week.)
Meanwhile, Taylor got her first bit of awards hardware from the Globes, besting presumptive favorite Amy Madigan for Best Supporting Actress — who won the prize at the CCA’s last week. Experts similarly believe that Taylor will repeat at the Oscars, but the love for Madigan at FYC events has been very real with SAG voters in particular responding to how the screen veteran found a late-career breakout part in Weapons. Once again, the Actor Awards results will better determine if that love translates into votes for Aunt Gladys.
Best Supporting Actress
1.
Teyana Taylor
One Battle After Another
2.
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
Sentimental Value
3.
On the Supporting Actor side, the first wave of One Battle chatter strongly suggested that the Oscar was Sean Penn‘s to lose. But the two-time Best Actor winner has yet to win any of the statuettes he’s already been nominated for and, in fact, has largely stayed off of the campaign circuit. (His Globes presence was his first high-profile public appearance in months.) That left an opening for Benicio Del Toro‘s wry supporting turn to gain momentum and claim two precursor prizes from the “Big Four” — the NYFCC and NBR honors for Best Supporting Actor.
Del Toro has since claimed the No. 1 spot in our odds as Penn faded and Stellan Skarsgård‘s once-strong campaign for Sentimental Value seemed to wither as well. But then the Swedish actor went and won the Globe, adding some fresh drama to the mix again. Right now, Best Supporting Actor is a three-way race among Del Toro as the critical favorite; Skarsgård as the Madigan-like industry veteran (although, unlike Madigan, he wasn’t recognized at the Actor Awards); and Frankenstein‘s Jacob Elordi as the young gun who has captured attention — and a CCA statuette.
In fact, at this point, Penn could be the spoiler that keeps Del Toro from a second Best Supporting Actor win should he end up splitting votes with his One Battle costar. Should that come to pass, he’ll owe Del Toro a few small beers.
Best Supporting Actor
1.
Benicio Del Toro
One Battle After Another
2.
Stellan Skarsgård
Sentimental Value
3.
Sean Penn
One Battle After Another
4.
Jacob Elordi
Frankenstein
5.
Note: Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which owns Gold Derby.
