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Super Bowl probabilities for all eight remaining NFL teams

  • The Seattle Seahawks are the team to beat: The Seahawks have a 19.0% chance to win the Super Bowl, according to PFF’s simulations.
  • The Texans are right in the mix: The Houston Texans have a 15.7% chance to win the Super Bowl and are projected to go to the Super Bowl 27% of the time.

TeamPower rankingStrength of schedule to dateChance to win conference (%)Chance to win Super Bowl (%)Seattle Seahawks32040.219.0Los Angeles Rams12434.516.5Houston Texans41826.915.7Denver Broncos51629.015.5Buffalo Bills22822.813.4New England Patriots63221.411.2Chicago Bears15612.84.5San Francisco 49ers92612.54.3

Seattle Seahawks: 19% to win Super Bowl & 40% to win conference

  • The Seattle Seahawks are projected to go to the Super Bowl 40% of the time.
  • The Seahawks have a 19.0% chance to win the Super Bowl.
  • They are ranked third in the PFF Power Rankings.

Los Angeles Rams: 17% to win Super Bowl & 35% to win conference

  • The Los Angeles Rams are the first-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
  • The Rams are projected to go to the Super Bowl 35% of the time.
  • They have a 16.5% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Houston Texans: 16% to win Super Bowl & 27% to win conference

  • The Houston Texans have a 15.7% chance to win the Super Bowl.
  • The Texans are projected to go to the Super Bowl 27% of the time.
  • They are the fourth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.

Denver Broncos: 15% to win Super Bowl & 29% to win conference

  • The Denver Broncos are projected to go to the Super Bowl 29% of the time.
  • The Broncos have a 15.5% chance to win the Super Bowl.
  • They are the fifth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.

Buffalo Bills: 13% to win Super Bowl & 23% to win conference

  • The Buffalo Bills are the second-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
  • The Bills are projected to go to the Super Bowl 23% of the time.
  • They have a 13.4% chance to win the Super Bowl.

New England Patriots: 11% to win Super Bowl & 21% to win conference

  • The New England Patriots are projected to go to the Super Bowl 21% of the time.
  • The Patriots have an 11.2% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
  • They are the sixth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.

Chicago Bears: 5% to win Super Bowl & 13% to win conference

  • The Chicago Bears have played the sixth-hardest schedule to date (SOS value: 6).
  • The Bears are projected to go to the Super Bowl 13% of the time.
  • They have a 4.5% chance to win the Super Bowl.

San Francisco 49ers: 4% to win Super Bowl & 12% to win conference

  • The San Francisco 49ers are projected to go to the Super Bowl 12% of the time.
  • The 49ers have a 4.3% chance to win the Super Bowl.
  • They are the ninth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.

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