2026 Australian Open: Mochizuki [112th] vs. Tsitsipas [33rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Australian Open Round of 128 on Sunday, we have a matchup of No. 33-ranked Stefanos Tsitsipas versus No. 112 Shintaro Mochizuki.

Tsitsipas is the favorite (-649) in this match against the underdog Mochizuki (+425).

Looking for this match? ESPN+000 will provide it, and more coverage during the Australian Open.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 10:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas matchup info

• Tournament: Australian Open
• Round: Round of 128
• Date: Sunday, January 18
• TV Channel: ESPN+000
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Court Surface: Hard

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Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Mochizuki has an 86.6% to win.

Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas Betting Odds

• Mochizuki’s odds to win match: +425
• Tsitsipas’ odds to win match: -649

Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas matchup performance & stats

• Mochizuki is 10-9 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past 12 months, Mochizuki has won 68.8% of his games on serve and 29.5% on return.
• Mochizuki has converted 39.4% of his break-point opportunities on hard courts (61 of 155) over the past 12 months.
• Mochizuki was eliminated by Juan Manuel Cerundolo (4-6, 7-6, 2-6) on January 9 in the Qualification of his last tournament, the ASB Classic.
• Tsitsipas, who holds a 12-9 record in 10 tournaments on hard courts over the past year, has claimed one tournament win on that surface.
• Tsitsipas has gone 226-for-280 in service games when playing on hard courts (80.7% winning percentage), and 61-for-274 in return games (22.3%).
• Tsitsipas’ 47 break points won on 147 total break points on hard courts (32.0% winning percentage) ranks 88th.
• On January 13, Tsitsipas was defeated by No. 87-ranked Aleksandar Vukic, 6-7, 6-7, in the Round of 32 of his last tournament, the Great Ocean Road Open.