ATP Australian Open 1/32-Finals
Machac – Tsitsipas: 22.01.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Tomas Machac has won four of his last five matches. He has never made it past the third round at the Australian Open. Last season, Machac lost to Djokovic in the third round in straight sets.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Tsitsipas lost to Vukic in the opening round in two tiebreaks. This week, Tsitsipas defeated Mochizuki in four sets. The Greek was the finalist here in 2023, losing to Djokovic in the final. Last season, Michelsen upset him in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Machac is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Last week in Adelaide, Machac won the title, and his great form continued this week in Melbourne, where he defeated Dimitrov in the opening round in straight sets. On the other hand, Tsitsipas struggled last season and this season against Vukic and Mochizuki as well. Machac is currently in better form, and we expect him to win.
That being said, Machac winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac winning @1.50 @bet365
Spizzirri – Wu: 22.01.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Eliot Spizzirri has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Spizzirri lost to Marozsan in the qualifying tournament. This is his debut campaign in Melbourne. In the opening main draw round, the American outlasted Fonseca in four sets. Last season at the Australian Open, the American lost to Klein in the qualifying tournament.
Yibing Wu has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Wu qualified for the main draw tournament by winning all three qualifying matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, Wu defeated Nardi in four tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, and we agree. Quality-wise, both players are at a similar level and inexperienced at the Grand Slam level. We expect a tight and close match that could go either way.
That being said, over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 39.5 games @1.83 @bet365
Shapovalov – Cilic: 22.01.2026 06:00 CEST
H2H: 3-2
Denis Shapovalov has lost four of his last five matches. This week at the Australian Open, Shapovalov defeated Bu in straight sets. The Canadian dominated on his serve, offering and saving only one breakpoint.
Marin Cilic has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the Croat demolished Altmaier in the opening round in straight sets. His last appearance here was in 2024, where he lost in the opening round against Marozsan in four tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cilic is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Cilic won the opening two sets against Altmaier 6-0, 6-0. Shapovalov is in bad form, and under these fast conditions, Cilic should be a better player.
That being said, Cilic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marin Cilic winning @2.20 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
