The Memphis Grizzlies (18-25) and Houston Rockets (27-16) meet Monday. Tip-off from Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Houston leads 1-0
Memphis was handed a 133-127 loss by the New Orleans Pelicans Friday, failing to cover as a 5-point home favorite with the Over (240.5) cashing. F Jaren Jackson Jr. finished with a 26-point, 12-rebound double-double, but it wasn’t enough, as Memphis allowed 3 Pelicans to finish with more than 24 points. The Grizzlies were dominated 62-48 in the paint and gave up 27 points off turnovers in the loss.
The Grizzlies were slated to play Sunday, but their game against the Denver Nuggets was postponed due to inclement weather.
Houston beat the Detroit Pistons 111-104 Friday, covering as a 4-point road underdog while the Under (216.5) hit. F Kevin Durant led the Rockets with 32 points, while no Piston scored more than 18. The Rockets held the Pistons to 7-of-32 (22%) shooting from 3-point range.
The Rockets routed the Grizzlies 124-109 Nov. 5, covering as a 7.5-point road favorite as the Over (232.5) hit. G Amen Thompson finished with 28 points, and C Alperen Sengun put up 20 points and 16 boards. The Rockets held Memphis to just 38% shooting from the field and 33% from deep.
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Grizzlies at Rockets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Rockets -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +9.5 (-102) | Rockets -9.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at Rockets key injuries
Grizzlies
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
- F Santi Aldama (knee) out
- C Zach Edey (ankle) out
- G Ty Jerome (calf) out
- G Ja Morant (elbow) out
- G Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe) out
Rockets
- C Steven Adams (ankle) out
- G Aaron Holiday (back) probable
- G Fred VanVleet (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Grizzlies at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 112, Grizzlies 100
PASS.
The Rockets are the much better and healthier team, and they should have no problem winning here as -475 favorites. However, no team favored so heavily is worth the risk on the moneyline, so pass and bet the spread and/or O/U instead.
BET ROCKETS -9.5 (-118).
Houston has covered the spread in 3 of its last 5 games, while the Grizzlies are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 outings. The Rockets are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 matchups against Memphis, covering in 4 of the last 5 overall.
Look for the Grizzlies to struggle to find consistent offense here, and watch for Houston to dominate on the glass, with Thompson taking advantage to score easy buckets in transition.
LEAN UNDER 224.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in 8 of Houston’s last 10 games, including all of their last 4 home games. For Memphis, the Under is 24-19 on the season.
Houston’s defense is elite, ranking fourth in opponent points per game and eighth in defensive rating. That defense should dominate here, especially with all of Memphis’ injuries, making the Under the safer play.
This is a lean because the Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 matchups between these squads.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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