2026 Open Sud de France: Gea [168th] vs. Machac [28th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Open Sud de France Round of 16 on Wednesday, we have a matchup of No. 28-ranked Tomas Machac versus No. 168 Arthur Gea.

Machac has -220 odds to earn a spot in the quarterfinals over Gea (+170).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 10:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac matchup info

• Tournament: Open Sud de France
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Wednesday, February 4
• Court Surface: Hard

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Gea vs. Machac Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Gea has a 68.8% to win.

Gea vs. Machac Betting Odds

• Gea’s odds to win match: +170
• Machac’s odds to win match: -220
• Gea’s odds to win tournament: +1600
• Machac’s odds to win tournament: +600

Gea vs. Machac matchup performance & stats

• Gea is 6-2 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• On hard courts over the past year, Gea has won 80.8% of his service games and 30.1% of his return games.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Gea has converted 25 of 68 break points (36.8%).
• Gea was defeated by Stan Wawrinka (6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 5-7, 6-7) on January 22 in the Round of 64 of his last tournament, the Australian Open.
• Machac has registered a 20-12 record on hard courts over the past 12 months, securing two tournament wins.
• Machac has finished 283-for-356 in service games on hard courts (79.5% winning percentage), and 102-for-368 in return games (27.7%).
• On hard courts Machac has won 45.5% of break points (81 out of 178) which ranks 30th.
• Machac was eliminated in the Round of 32 of his most recent tournament (the Australian Open) on January 23, when he went down 7-5, 4-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-2 to Lorenzo Musetti.