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2026 Dallas Open: Shapovalov [40th] vs. Jodar [124th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Tuesday, Rafael Jodar (No. 124 in the world) meets Denis Shapovalov (No. 40) in the Round of 32 at the Dallas Open.

Shapovalov has -120 odds to earn a spot in the Round of 16 over Jodar (-105).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Denis Shapovalov vs. Rafael Jodar matchup info

  • Tournament: Dallas Open
  • Round: Round of 32
  • Date: Tuesday, February 10
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Shapovalov vs. Jodar Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 54.5% to win.

Shapovalov vs. Jodar Betting Odds

  • Shapovalov’s odds to win match: -120
  • Jodar’s odds to win match: -105
  • Shapovalov’s odds to win tournament: +2800
  • Jodar’s odds to win tournament: +3300

Shapovalov vs. Jodar matchup performance & stats

  • Shapovalov has won one tournament over the past 12 months on hard courts, with a match record of 17-13 on that surface.
  • On hard courts over the past 12 months, Shapovalov has won 32.8% of his return games and 73.4% of his service games.
  • Shapovalov has converted 48.8% of his break-point opportunities on hard courts (106 of 217) over the past year.
  • In the the Australian Open, Shapovalov’s most recent tournament, he was beaten 4-6, 3-6, 2-6 by No. 70-ranked Marin Cilic on January 22 in the Round of 64.
  • Jodar has put up a 6-2 record in two tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months.
  • Jodar is 72-for-103 in service games on hard courts (69.9%) and 38-for-106 in return games (35.8%).
  • On hard courts Jodar has won 47.1% of break points (32 out of 68) to rank 126th.
  • In his previous tournament (the Australian Open) on January 21, Jodar went up against Jakub Mensik in the Round of 64 and was eliminated 2-6, 4-6, 4-6.

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