2026 Qatar ExxonMobil Open: de Jong [86th] vs. Rublev [15th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Round of 32 at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on Tuesday, Andrey Rublev (ranked No. 14) faces Jesper de Jong (No. 86).

Rublev is the favorite (-649) against de Jong (+425) in this Round of 32 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Jesper de Jong vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info

• Tournament: Qatar ExxonMobil Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Tuesday, February 17
• Court Surface: Hard

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de Jong vs. Rublev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, de Jong has an 86.6% to win.

de Jong vs. Rublev Betting Odds

• de Jong’s odds to win match: +425
• Rublev’s odds to win match: -649
• de Jong’s odds to win tournament: +20000
• Rublev’s odds to win tournament: +2800

de Jong vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats

• In 10 tournaments on hard courts over the past year, de Jong has gone 7-10.
• On hard courts over the past year, de Jong has won 72.2% of his service games and 22.0% of his return games.
• de Jong is 103rd in break points won on hard courts over the past 12 months, converting 40 of 123 (32.5%).
• In the the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament, de Jong’s last tournament, he was beaten 6-3, 4-6, 5-7 by No. 18-ranked Karen Khachanov on February 11 in the Round of 32.
• Rublev has posted a 22-15 record on hard courts over the past 12 months, claiming one tournament win.
• Rublev is 405-for-497 in service games on hard courts (81.5%) and 116-for-501 in return games (23.2%).
• On hard courts Rublev is 99-for-267 on break points, 37.1%, which ranks 16th.
• In his previous tournament (the Australian Open) on January 23, Rublev squared off against Francisco Cerundolo in the Round of 32 and was defeated 3-6, 6-7, 3-6.