Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win men’s college basketball matchup [2/24/2026]

Arkansas State and Southern Miss will meet in men’s college basketball action at First National Bank Arena on Tuesday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers’ proven college basketball model predicts Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday’s matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday’s NCAA basketball matchup between Southern Miss and Arkansas State 10,000 times as part of our men’s college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas State a 79% chance of beating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 84-74.

According to our model, Arkansas State (-8.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State odds

We have sourced the best men’s college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Southern Miss
Arkansas State

Spread
+8.5 (-104)
-8.5 (-118)

Moneyline
+375
-455

Total
o158.5 (-115)
u158.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: