2026 BNP Paribas Open: Stearns [48th] vs. Sierra [65th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

Peyton Stearns (No. 48 ranking) will take on Solana Sierra (No. 65) in the Round of 128 of the BNP Paribas Open on Thursday, March 5.

Stearns is the favorite (-450) in this match against Sierra (+320).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Peyton Stearns vs. Solana Sierra matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 128
• Date: Thursday, March 5
• Court Surface: Hard

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Stearns vs. Sierra Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Stearns has an 81.8% to win.

Stearns vs. Sierra Betting Odds

• Stearns’ odds to win match: -450
• Sierra’s odds to win match: +320

Stearns vs. Sierra matchup performance & stats

• Stearns has won one tournament over the past year on hard courts, with a record of 13-14 on that surface.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, Stearns has won 66.4% of her games on serve and 33.2% on return.
• Stearns has converted 50.0% of her break-point opportunities on hard courts (98 of 196) over the past 12 months.
• In her most recent tournament, the ATX Open, Stearns advanced all the way to the final and then defeated No. 119-ranked Taylor Townsend, 7-6, 7-5 on March 1.
• Sierra has registered a 6-10 record in eight tournaments on hard courts over the past year.
• Sierra has gone 103-for-164 in service games when playing on hard courts (62.8% winning percentage), and 49-for-164 in return games (29.9%).
• On hard courts Sierra ranks 127th in break point win percentage (45.6%) after going 47-for-103.
• In her last tournament (the WTA Dubai, UAE) on February 13, Sierra went up against Kamilla Rakhimova in the Qualification Round 1 and was defeated 3-6, 6-7.