The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-finals feature some exciting matchups as the competition heats up. Bergs faces a tough test against in-form Paul, Cobolli looks to extend his winning streak against Kecmanovic, while Berrettini takes on Zverev after a draining opening-round battle. With form and physical condition playing a big role, there are a few strong betting angles to consider.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Bergs – Paul: 07.03.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. This week, Bergs defeated Struff in the opening round in straight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, Bergs lost to Popyrin in the second round in straight sets.
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Delray Beach, where he lost to Korda in the final in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, Paul lost to Medvedev in the fourth round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in solid form and looks for a solid result this week to enter the top 20 in the rankings. The American enjoys playing in Indian Wells, and we expect him to dominate in this matchup.
That being said, Paul covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul -4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Cobolli – Kecmanovic: 06.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Flavio Cobolli has won five straight matches. Last week in Acapulco, Cobolli won the title, defeating Tiafoe in the final in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, Smith upset him in the opening round.
Miomir Kecmanovic has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Altmaier retired mid-match in the opening round against the Serb.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Cobolli is a top 15 player and has just won the title in Acapulco. He is in better form than Kecmanovic, and we expect him to get a comfortable win.
That being said, Cobolli winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli winning @2.00 @bet365
Berrettini – Zverev: 06.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: 3-4
Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Berrettini turned the match around against Mannarino after fighting for almost three hours. Last season at the Indian Wells, the Italian lost to Tsitsipas in the third round in straight sets.
Alexander Zverev has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Zverev lost to Kecmanovic in the second round in three sets. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here. Last season in Indian Wells, Griekspoor upset him in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Berrettini had cramps in the deciding set against Mannarino and suffered from the flu just a few days ago. We expect Zverev to dominate in this matchup and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
